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Image is of a large protest in the Ivory Coast, sourced from this article in People's Dispatch.


This week's megathread is based largely on a detailed article from People's Dispatch, featuring statements and analysis from Achy Ekessi, the General Secretary of the Revolutionary Communist Party of Ivory Coast (PCRCI), brought to my attention by @jack@hexbear.net's comment in the last megathread.

The president of Ivory Coast, the 83 year old Alassane Ouattara, is aiming for a fourth term in power while barring out much of the opposition. I can't really do the all the history of how the situation wound up this way justice in a preamble as it's fairly complicated (read the article if you are interested), but to summarize, Ouattara is currently the only coherent candidate for the French to support. Back in 2011, the French helped Ouattara overthrow the previous (pan-Africanist) president, Laurent Gbagbo, and then arrested him and sent him to the ICC, and he was then acquitted and released in 2021.

Gbagbo is now running against Ouattara, but his base, the working class, has large swathes that are not present on the voting rolls and so it would be unlikely for him to win. On the opposite side of the spectrum is Tidjane Thiam, a former CEO of the Swiss Bank Credit Suisse, whose base is in the richer strata of the Ivory Coast, which overlaps with Ouattara's base. He would be more likely to win, but would certainly maintain many Western imperialist relationships. Ouattara, however, has simplified the electoral situation by simply barring both of them from running in the election at all.

Ouattara has, on paper, delivered some amount of economic development to the Ivory Coast. But as expected, most of it is funnelled to the bourgeois, as well as to foreign corporations and governments, while the working class are swallowed by the cost of living crisis. There has been significant infrastructure projects, but these have not only generated massive debt, they also have only really addressed the damage caused by the 2011 civil war and intervention by the French.

The rest of Western Africa has either entirely exited the orbit of France (Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso), are wavering/unstable (Senegal, Benin, Guinea), are beginning to show doubts (Nigeria, Ghana), or are economically weak enough to not be a major blow for the French to lose (Togo, Guinea-Bissau). The loss of the Ivory Coast would be a major setback for French neocolonialism, and be a potent example to nearby countries.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] companero@hexbear.net 13 points 4 hours ago

Doesn't China already have a pretty high debt-to-GDP ratio? And they don't have the infinite USD printer to fall back on.

Unfortunately I don't think China will change course on economic matters until after their geopolitical confrontation with the US comes to a head.

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 3 points 48 minutes ago

If it is government debt you’re thinking about, then it’s not an issue. China is a country with monetary sovereignty, which means unlike the eurozone member states or countries with fixed exchange rate, China’s central bank can create as much money as needed.

The fact that China doesn’t is a policy choice, and one that is guided by the IMF.

To put things simply, IMF demands the “balance the budget” playbook, i.e. if you want to spend, you need to earn an income first. The central bank needs to put something on the asset side of its balance sheet as an offset before it can create new money, which goes on the liabilities side. For many countries, that means accumulating foreign currencies e.g. US dollars through exports. It makes their balance sheet look balanced. Maintain deficit <3% of GDP like China does and you get rewarded with a pet on the head by IMF telling you that you’re being so “fiscally responsible”.

Consequently, the export-led growth model is adopted by many developing countries to maximize the ability of these countries to spend domestically, because they have bought into the IMF neoliberal ideology that in order to “climb the global value chain”, you have to earn foreign currencies through exports first (income) before you can spend. Entire economies have been re-oriented to serve the export market, labor and resources spent to produce cheap goods to sell to wealthy foreign countries, often at the expense of their own people.

After the 2008 GFC, export revenue fell in China and the infrastructure investment phase begun to shift the economic focus away from the export market. Unfortunately, because of this balance the budget rule, instead of directly creating new money through the central bank to finance the infrastructure building, they (both the central and local governments) instead borrowed from financial institutions.

This caused the local governments to rack up tons of hidden debt at high interest rates. Initially, the plan was to pay them off by driving the land prices up through massive housing and infrastructure development. Unfortunately this has not materialized, especially with Covid hitting the world in 2020. Property prices already peaked around 2019 and the plunge in asset prices resulted in many local governments to owe huge sums of debt that they no longer have the ability to repay (through selling land). The deterioration of this situation is somewhat slowed by the government spending huge amount of wealth to cushion the falling property market prices, at the expense of the rest of the people. That’s why the wealth is being funneled away from the people, because the alternative is a financial market crash (mass mortgage defaults -> land prices fall -> local governments and banks losing their income). As such, the costs are being socialized.

The solution as I have said is to simply allow the central bank to create the money needed to solve the economic problem. I don’t really think much need to be said about this - if the government/central bank directly creates the money, then people will have the money to stimulate the economy directly, and local governments, corporations and households will not have to borrow as heavily from the financial institutions.

Nonetheless, we are already at a situation where the debt burden is already so pervasive that trying to undo everything without causing more problems is going to be very difficult. The debt will have to be cancelled somehow, but at such a large sums, there are going to be winners and losers. And the losers aren’t gonna like it.

[-] jack@hexbear.net 11 points 3 hours ago

And they don't have the infinite USD printer to fall back on.

If the money you print goes to socially valuable labor that generates more than it costs, you kinda do have infinite money (as much as you have the economic development to make use of, at least).

this post was submitted on 18 Aug 2025
92 points (98.9% liked)

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