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this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2023
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Yeah... I always suspected it was Ukraine, since what would Russia gain from destroying it?
Weirdly enough, I think it might have benefited Germany by removing the insane option to bow to Russia's blackmail. Just the debate might destabilize the government / society. With NS gone, there wasn't any question.
If it was Russia, a possible motive would be so that they frame the US for blowing it up in the hope that Europe would then blame the US for destroying the supply of gas to Europe. One of the biggest goals of Russia's disinformation campaigns is to hurt relations between the US and Europe by portraying the US as the bad guy.
A one weird thing is that Russia surprisingly didn't push this issue very hard. I expected a lot of Russia-sponsored propaganda and finger-pointing in the German mediaspace, but there wasn't that much.