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this post was submitted on 20 Feb 2025
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SneerClub
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Hurling ordure at the TREACLES, especially those closely related to LessWrong.
AI-Industrial-Complex grift is fine as long as it sufficiently relates to the AI doom from the TREACLES. (Though TechTakes may be more suitable.)
This is sneer club, not debate club. Unless it's amusing debate.
[Especially don't debate the race scientists, if any sneak in - we ban and delete them as unsuitable for the server.]
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So AGI is 0.5-2 years away. After which the singularity happens and due to AI alignment we either are immortal forever, or everybody is diamondoid paperclips.
A normal human takes 18 years to grow to maturity. So for the sake of the argument (yes yes, don't hand it to ISIS) a supergene baby can do that in 9 years. (poor kid). Those timelines seem at odds with each other (and that is assuming the research was possible now).
I know timelines and science fiction stories are a bit fluid but, come on, at least pretend you believe in it. I'm not saying he is full of shit but... no wait, I am saying that.
I took a look at the “AGI 0.5-2 years away” quote, and he said he’s using the term in the “pre-2020” way, where we would of “debated whether or not Claude Opus is AGI or not” so not exactly robot god, but he’s still expecting LLMs to be able to act as advanced secretaries for the government. I have no clue what he means by “cluster” and if he was being literal with the molecular stuff or that’s just figurative language
Still stupid tho