46
The numbers:
- Poilievre, CPC 13.7%
- Lewis, NDP 42.6%
- Carney, Liberal 39.5%
- May, Green 2.3%
- Another Cand. 1.9%
Source: https://www.mainstreetresearch.ca/post/can-avi-lewis-begin-an-ndp-comeback-in-beaches-east-york
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this post was submitted on 18 Mar 2026
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It's a good predictor and he leads by a lot. So I think that's fair.
What I want to hear and see is the signs of bricks forming in some asses as they get to discuss this poll. I hope it's discussed at Good Talk this Friday too. 😅
Definitely Philip J Fournier and Eric Grenier might pick it up on The Writ podcast they do separately. They've lately have not been finding much notable movement on the NDP and Alberta Liberal support has their attention the most... but this surely will come up on Thursday for them. I can edit and link to the episode once I see it.
Direct link to them talking about Beaches EY: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eS4-YBCRQEk&t=1460
I follow The Numbers, I'll watch this week's episode! 😁
E:
Thank you baby!
Episode is out. The swing is interesting but they do note it could all be moot if Erskine-Smith decides not to leave The Beaches-East York federal riding.
I'll watch in a bit.