I don't think the Jolani regime could transition into a secular Nationalist project or contain the more extremist elements. His basis of power is from these foreign Takfeeris who would refuse to cooperate with a moderating force. They'd turn against HTS if it tried to restrict their activities.

Jolani tries to maintain his image by saying that the alawites and other minorities being massacred are Assad remnants, while also putting all the blame onto these takfeeris as independent actors not being commanded by HTS.

The Taliban is still fighting ISIS and I'd argue they have more direct control within Afghanistan then Jolani does in Syria. Also the majority of organic support that does exist for the terrorist regime comes from nomadic Arab tribes with similiar fundamentalist views. They are the internal elements who started the massacre in Sweida against the Druze. Once again, if Jolani tried to moderate them like Assad had then they'd revolt and join forces with the Takfeeris.

I don't think Jolani can maintain power without upholding this Salafi base of support, so I do not think his regime will moderate.