Buddy, Russia has been bombing Ukraine for four years now, and it's still there. And Iran is three times the size of Ukraine, with lots of mountains under which all the critical military infrastructure is.

We might not have up to date figures on each country, but we do know that the US has been massively drained in Ukraine for the past 4 years. We know that US industrial production is laughable. And we know that the US is spread thin around the world with over 800 military bases to maintain. Meanwhile, Iran has been preparing for this specific war for literally decades, and they're fighting on their home turf.

And the US can't specifically overwhelm the government because Iranians aren't idiots, and they have considered this exact possibility. This is why they have the whole mosaic defense strategy where each region acts autonomously, and has its own logistics. There is no central government you could take out to stop the army from acting.

I'm being very realistic about the US logistics capability here. The US is literally abandoning bases and infrastructure that took decades to build in these client states. All the early warning systems and radars are gone at this point, and Iraqi and Iranian drones are flying freely through the empty US bases now. Iran has already pushed US logistics further away from their border.

Nothing that we've seen so far suggests that the US has any chance of prevailing over Iran. Also not sure what you're basing the claim that Iran does not have enough drones on. They've been producing them since the war in Ukraine started.