Cheap oil is the basis of the global capitalist system. If that is gone, then we will see revolutions spout through the western world, and a dependence on Chinese solar / battery tech.
Thus, any and all measures will be made to maintain this system. This includes preserving oil reserves, including Iranian reserves.
They will not be using a nuclear option, because 1. it will irradiate Iranian reserves and 2. it will not guarantee surrender, and Iran will retaliate by completely destroying oil reserves in gulf states.
This war is not ideological. Well, it is, but the ideology is based on forced acquisition of private property, namely Iran's oil reserves. They won't do anything to compromise that.
The nuke card is a bluff. The powers that be won't allow their usage here.
Japan at the end of WWII was a totally different situation. The same rational used then can't be reused here for largely the same reasons it wasn't in Korea, Vietnam, and Afghanistan: you can't profit from radioactive ashes.
Cheap oil is the basis of the global capitalist system. If that is gone, then we will see revolutions spout through the western world, and a dependence on Chinese solar / battery tech.
Thus, any and all measures will be made to maintain this system. This includes preserving oil reserves, including Iranian reserves.
They will not be using a nuclear option, because 1. it will irradiate Iranian reserves and 2. it will not guarantee surrender, and Iran will retaliate by completely destroying oil reserves in gulf states.
This war is not ideological. Well, it is, but the ideology is based on forced acquisition of private property, namely Iran's oil reserves. They won't do anything to compromise that.
^This.
The nuke card is a bluff. The powers that be won't allow their usage here.
Japan at the end of WWII was a totally different situation. The same rational used then can't be reused here for largely the same reasons it wasn't in Korea, Vietnam, and Afghanistan: you can't profit from radioactive ashes.