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Megathread for the US war on Iran | Week 15 of 2026
(lemmygrad.ml)
This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).
Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.
I think it's possible that Trump will use nukes - what else could defeat Iran's mountain fortifications? There is no larger explosion than a nuke, so perhaps a ground penetrating weapon with a nuclear warhead will be used to destroy Iran's deepest missile bases? Otherwise Iran will be able to launch missiles for several more weeks.
Nukes can't do that, actually.
They would have to deplete their very difficult to replace nuke stockpile by nuking every square-kilometer of the Iranian countryside to be sure there isn't enough IRGC units left to fight back, especially if they use smaller tactical nukes. Any less than that, and all that would do is make the IRGC take the gloves off completely and dunk on the US and allies even harder than they already do. And not even the US has anywhere enough nukes for that. Nukes are good at destroying a large amount of targets concentrated in a small area[^1], but they are terrible at destroying a large number of targets scattered over a large area. Which the IRGC is.
[^1]: Actually, this disputable is some cases. Especially if you want to be efficient about it. Nukes are not efficient. There's also all the radioactivity issues you'd have to deal with afterward.
They don't even know where the missile bases are to target them. Even if they know where an entrance is there is no knowing which way the tunnel leads after it goes underground. The missile bases have been specifically built to withstand bunker busting bombs. They are 100m+ deep in granite. On top of that there are over 100 of these missile complexes. Many of these are thought to be in north eastern Iran which means more time for Iran's air defenses to do their work.
The closer to the ground a nuke is detonated the longer lasting the fallout. Fallout that will go over to Pakistan and to a lesser extent India. Fallout from one nuke could kill millions in a few weeks and cause tens of millions of people to get cancer. 5 would render most of Pakistan and parts of india unlivable for years and kill tens of millions in the short term.
usa can't use nukes on Iran because they would effectively be using them on 2 or 3 other nuclear states.
A lot more than weeks. They can do this indefinitely.