Image is of a Colombian campaign rally in support of Iván Cepeda of the left-wing Historic Pact.
As always, my weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.
preamble
The unstable stare-down in the Middle East continues. Yet again, there's been little region-level change, but there have been some big escalations. Namely, the entity has decided to go further into Lebanon, with all the casualties and destruction that will bring them, while simultaneously abandoning bases elsewhere in the theater due to constant pressure by Hezbollah. Seeking to pressure Hezbollah away from their successful strategy of attrition on IOF forces that attempt to advance only to receive rapid onset symptoms of FPVdroneitis, they have also decided to resume airstrikes on Beirut, which is an obvious violation of the region-wide ceasefire that Iran may or may not militarily respond to, but they do seem very diplomatically displeased as of me writing this sentence. Meanwhile, Iran has responded to US drone incursions with strikes on Kuwait military bases. Trump has escalated his demands lately, so a return to war seems more likely than ever.
In Bolivia, Paz appears to be escalating in response to undiminished general strikes, with Congress allowing him to declare states of emergency at will, and therefore get the military more easily involved. In Colombia's runoff elections, far-right candidate Espriella won the first round of the runoff election with 43.7% of the vote ahead of left-winger Cepeda's 40.9%. Every poll had Cepeda beating Espriella by varying margins, so this appears to be a fairly standard case of the US putting their thumb on the scale; as the saying goes, they do not trust the population of Colombia to do democracy correctly and they couldn't risk them accidentally electing the wrong person.
Over in Sudan, the conflict appears like it is moving in a pro-SAF direction, with some significant military gains against the UAE-backed RSF, although the military situation is still fairly complicated. A potentially notable news item that I missed a couple weeks ago is that the US seems to have ended their strategic ambiguity over who they consider the true government in Sudan, as they now firmly recognize the SAF over the RSF. Why exactly this has occurred is a little beyond me. Could be because they see how the winds are blowing militarily; could be because they want to fuck over the UAE for some perceived slight (to be America's ally is fatal etc etc). The humanitarian situation appears no better though, with millions of people remaining in incredible hardship and near-starvation, and RSF-backed genocidal atrocities of the kind that Zionists would nod approvingly at.
Thankfully, China is looking at all these manifold crises and has dramatically escalated the speed at which they are writing strongly worded letters and are calling for a revitalized UN.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
I haven't misrepresented you at all. As I explained, and as you are ignoring yet again, your focus on giving credit to bourgeois politicians and reversing the causative roles is incorrect. It is a wrong political understanding. In addition to them being opportunist, your line of thought is opportunist. I pointed out that if anyone is to be given credit for normalizing antizionism, it is the Palestinian resistance, and not where you have chosen to place that focus in this conversation.
Now it's structural utility. Just words. Do they mean anything?
Is Mamdani antizionist if his orientation towards it is opportunist? What of the NYC DSA liberals that consistently opposed it right up until they could cynically used it? What is the value of them having "POWER", and what is this so-called "POWER" when it's used to send cops to defend Zionist stolen land sales? There is an inconsistency between the material reality and this vague optimistic electoralist posting. Mamdani is not even some vanguard of a socialist party to whom he's beholden, he's literally a bourgeois politician who owes nothing to anyone, you might as well be defending any random liberal that says "I'm against the genocide". But also speaking in terms as if he's part of us, or some grander strategy, or the "movement", whatever that is.
I'm trying to understand your circuitous language and vague references. This is what I was trying to understand: "The bulk of Americans who didn't care when university students were brutalized by zionist hate mobs and police, but will now vote for politicians who utilize anti-zionism as a persuasive campaign strategy." So again it's just that weird proximity of language thing, where you try to imply that two or three things are directly related (otherwise there is no meaning at all): that his campaign won, that it had antizionist messaging, and that his voters didn't care about state violence against pro-Palestine protesters. This is quite the claim if we are to believe they are related to one another. Tell me how they are related, or if not, explain why you implied they were.
Uh no? That doesn't follow. And I've said repeatedly that liberal and socdem bourgeois politicians will gladly make use of, and coopt, various movements once they are already popular enough. I think it's kind of obvious that they try to use them to further their careers, including election prospects. Isn't it obvious?
For maybe the 6th or 7th time, you are completey backwards in your attribution of cause and effect regarding the popularization of antizionism in the US. You seem to think the bourgeois politicians using it are pushing it forward rather than tailing it, despite using the term tailing. Is it leadership pushing forward "the movement" or is it opporutnist tailing? Because I know it's the latter but you seem very confused.
Pure invention on your part. Please retract or demonstrate your claim on this.
The Palestinian resistance is not a spontaneous, vibes-based movement. It seems you don't even know the topic we are discussing. Like... at all?
I think it's just a soft attempt at insult. It doesn't make any sense and required putting quite a few words in my mouth.
And Mamdani is the "leadership" you're otherwise referring to, so therefore you are making that exact comparison. And it is invalid, for the reasons I've already stated regarding opportunist bourgeois politicians vs. leaders beholen to an organization. This is literally opportunist logic, like old-school opportunist nonsense from the 1910s.
I strongly disagree that the point has been made. You've been vague and primarily leveraged jargon and comparisons rather than actually clearly stating what is actually happening, concretely. and how the critiques you are responding to are wrong. I make a specific criticism, you retreat to vague "but leadership is something, right??? Remember Lenin?" posts.
I don't hate Mamdani, I barely even think about him. I do take issue with false uses of Marxist language and thinking to defend him doing opportunist things. As if it's smart and strategic to backtrack, as if you are of his side, rather than literally exactly what you would expect from a self-serving opportunism masquerading as part of any "movement" you and I would share. Please try to do better in addressing what I actually say instead of inventing positions on my part.
I certainly don't feel like anyone is swinging an axe at my political foundations, lmao. This is like virtually every conversation I have ever had with a DSA electoralist. They kind of just make things up as they go. At the moment I'm just being somewhat entertained given the string of comments that are like 50% straw men and deflections. I don't even know what political foundations you'd be swinging an axe at. Maybe you'd like to tell me what you think they are? Provide quotes, please, since your claims about me rarely match what I've said.
We are discussing the normalization of antizionism, implicitly primarily in the United States (technically we did not actually restrict our statements to the US, but sure whatever). Regarding the normalization of antizionism, the Palestinian resistance has had inifnitely more impact than Zohran Mamdani and DSA electoralists. The latter are trailing, or hey let's rhyme, tailing existing popularity and normalization. So where did the latter come from? Certainly not the folks you're placing emphasis on.
It came from months and months of seeing genocidal violence on social media.
Those publications came from Palestine, from the resistance, from people who would get videos smuggled out or with difficult to access networks, peple taking real personal risks to do this. They became particularly popular on TikTok, where imperialists realized they didn't have as much control as they usually have over propaganda narratives (and have since taken material action, as we know). The resistance provided the narratives that opportunists now half-quote, the evidence, the faces to it, and there were organized campaigns to hold clear lines on these topics, to use media strategies by which to spread understanding, to organize events that mobilized, educated, enjoined people into the work. The student protests on campuses drew from and built on this momentum, and although not particularly well organized or strategic, were at least concrete, demanding defunding of zionist investments. Labor became involved, both through those protests and before, through work in UFCW, in UAW, with the extremely active Starbucks workers, amplifying the messaging and enjoining it in class struggle work. And of course socialist and adjascent groups did the bulk of on the ground organizing.
Through this extended process of observing genocide, of hearing the correct antizionist narratives repeated over and over again, of participating in of seeing the responses to those working against genocide, the normalization of antizionism in the US gained steam, the process far from complete.
Note that absolutely none of that was, "a bourgeous opportunist politician said Free Palestine a year and a half later". That is an outcome of the normalization far more than any kind of cause. This is maybe the 7th, 8th time I've stated this? You have never acknowledged this point.
I will half to split my reply in 2.
You're just yapping in the rest of your response and not addressing anything I said, so I'll focus on the one actual worthwhile question in your essay
Because one flows from the other, brutalized protests created the heat and energy (grassroots organizers, election workers, student testimonials, future campaign door knockers, and an already primed voter base) a political election campaign harnesses that energy and rudimentary organization to bridge the gap between state and grassroots, sanitizing anti-Zionism for dumb, apathetic cracker Americans who didn't care college students got beat, and harnessing the political energy of that movement to win an election, which puts your movement into proximity to state power, which minimizes the risk of further brutalized protests. Materialist political evolution originating with Palestinian resistance and ending in anti-Zionists holding state power in the heart of empire
You can call Mandani an opportunist all you like, but he's not going to run the Adam's playbook if college protests ever reignite
AND HERE YOU ARE ARGUING AGAINST the further development of that process. Palestinian resistance members cannot be elected in the United States; socdems like Mamdani who FURTHER normalize anti-Zionism, can. Hence why those socdems have a structural utility in advancing anti-zionism IN THE UNITED STATES
All of a sudden you remember the concepts of process and progress
I responded to your previous comment point-by-point and directly. I quoted every single thing you wrote and responded directly. The only possible exceptions came in a later comment where I decided to not help you derail by not answering for claims I haven't made.
It's not my fault if you wish to avoid this discussion. Please just be direct and honest.
Ah, the DSA electoralism self-promoting speech pattern.
So, you are saying that those 3 things are directly related? That there could have been action words connecting them to make your point clear and direct? I will read this response in those terms as best I can, looking for those action words.
The brutalized protests "created heat and energy", i.e. on the ground organizing, such as it was, combined with the reaction and media/social media coverage, produced a following reaction of further organizing. Moving directly to election workers, future campaign door knockers, and "already primed voter base" is quite the reach and reads as that DSA electoralism speech pattern I mentioned. Perhaps in retrospect you can assign the latter to the former to some degree, that those who were agitated by the student protests are among the ranks of those who could be activated to do electoral campaign work for Mamdani in particular. Is that what you are trying to say? I think it is trivial and obvious that there were people agitated on Palestine who would later volunteer for the campaign. Is that what we are discussing?
"a political election campaign harnesses that energy and rudimentary organization to bridge the gap between state and grassroots" Wrong. A political election campaign like this harnesses the result of agitation, yes, but it is for bridging the gap between a political candidate and an elected position. The outcome, e.g. vaguely posting about "the state", is not a direct consequence. Is it a bridge? How far does that metaphor go? Are the grassroots now in control of the office? What happens when the socdem backtracks and allies with fascists? I mean we can see right now: unprincipled defenses. It is its own formation with distinct dynamics, it is not a bridge from grassroots to the state, from organization to policy, it is an expression of self-interested electoralism by NYC DSA libs merely couched in those terms, and the moment the reality of that bridge is tested it is subsumed to "the elected". This is a one-way street and it is other interests, particularly capital, that hold most of the cards, with no particular structure to counteract them. If we were discussing a disciplined organization of which Mamdani si merely a representative, we could have a different discussion about bourgeois state power and its manifestations when socialists try to enter it, but we aren't even there.
"sanitizing anti-Zionism for dumb, apathetic cracker Americans who didn't care college students got beat" Yes, sanitizing an already-popular position resulting from a separate primary social movement. What it means to do it "for" apathetic whites is implied to be a good or smart thing? It's just as easily a bad thing. Sanitizing it also strips it of its potential to agitate, it redirects into a political campaign that has no need to follow through and softens it. This is the long-standing function of liberal cooption.
"and harnessing the political energy of that movement to win an election, which puts your movement into proximity to state power, which minimizes the risk of further brutalized protests." oh I didn't think this would get so circular and repetitive, now I barely know what you're talking about again. Sanitizing antizionism is given direct partial credit here for winning the election? Sanitizing it is to make it more palatable, you have its role opposite the reality. The adoption of antizionism is a cynical move to "harness" existing antizionist agitation, but those who are so agitated use the language of antizionism and its commitments, which is considered alienating to potential voters, so it is sanitized. The purpose and function of sanitized antizionism is not to further antizionism, it is to exploit and soften it. The "payoff" is theoretical or simply electoralist self-serving, which is why you are vague about it and are avoiding the various material defenses of Zionism by Mamdani. The other partial credit for winning the election is given to simply "harnessing" those were were already agitated in favor of Palestine, which is just another way of restating that the Mamdani campaign used antizionism as a way to build itself up, to use that topic and agitation to its own advantage. We certainly don't disagree about that, but you seem to think it is worth mentioning in such glowing terms and an expression of power for antizionism and the "movement" rather than simply a cynical cooption in the interests of the bourgeois politician and his hangers-on. Finally, minimizes the risk of further brutalized protests? Now you're giving credit for things that haven't happened even as Mamdani has faltered in his commitments. In a thread about how he's faltering in his commitments. If Mamdani fails on student protests in the future, will you be here to explain his reasoning and why not taking on Columbia et al makes tons of sense even though you think he could do it if he wanted to?
Materialist political evolution... I'm not sure how to even discuss that. Was it materialist? I think it's just a narrative of topics that relate to one another, but it's not much of an analysis, and not particularly materialist. It still just feels like jargon is being thrown around to sound socialist. A materialist analysis would need to discuss more brass tacks, things like how the superstructure was impacted by the base in this situation. The Palestinian resistance would again return to our focus, because their direct military opposition placed the entity in desperate conditions, transforming the false narrative of reluctant impervious domineers to the true narrative of precarious genocidal settlers. The exodus of Zionists from Israel, the economic impacts, the contradictions in needing to then send yet more aid to Israel...
Anyways, "anti-Zionists holding state power" again has no such meaning if their antizionism is opportunist. Again. Is this the third or fourth time I've said this?
I mean they don't need to be identical to have the same impact. Is Tisch still going to be there? Is she going to send the cops? Will you be the Mamdani explainer if the students are beaten by the cops? He can't just take them on, right?
What did I argue against, specifically? Quote me.
Now it's "structural utility" again, whatever that vague nonsense means. And again you refer to Mamdani as normalizing antizionism, which appears to mean that he is elected and can say some antizionist things? Agian back to the Dem cooption playbook, are we meant to make excuses for Obama because he "evolved" on gay marriage? We are meant to give him this much credit? Uh-oh, I mentioned credit again! I am again simply describing your tendency to give it to Mamdani, unasked, in defense of opportunism.
I have not said anything in contradiction of these concepts or neglected them. You're just saying things again. Things that maybe sound good to you? They aren't principled or in alignment with what has been said.
You knowingly misrepresented my argument in the first sentence of your last comment; I'm not bothering with your repetitive semantics and liberal obfuscation of basic socio-political developments that are prerequisites for state power
No I didn't? And this is rich given the amount of highly inventive accusations you've leveled.
I am repetitive in response to you ignoring what I say and repeating yourself, lol. Such as with this comment. Did I respond to the semantics point? yes I did. Are you now repeating it and ignoring what I said? You betcha!
But if you want to bail, go right ahead. I am quite aware that you're just faking this stuff. Throw out some more Marxist-sounding words!