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Sooo… Israel just gathered 300k troops to invade Gaza
(hexbear.net)
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this post was submitted on 09 Oct 2023
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Yeah that's bad but let's analyze this objectively
For one I highly doubt it's 300k, militaries love to pump out big impressive numbers wthout any regard for reality or on the ground conditions
The majority are conscripts and paramilitary who've been demoralized by the Palestinian victory
Also not all those troops are going to be sent to Gaza, using such large force in a confined space like that would be unwieldy and would tax the logistics and ammo stores of a small state like Isreal past their limit
And troops still have to reinforce the Lebanon border, Golan Heights and the entirety of the West Bank
The minute the Israelis enter the tangled urban sprawl of Gaza city or Khan Yunis is the minute they suffer casualties the likes they've never seen, futher demoralizing an already demoralized concript force
And finally that's all assuming Hezbollah doesn't open up a second front or the West Bank doesn't explode
Also any video that emerges of Israeli soldiers gunning down Gazans will trigger an explosion in other Arab countries, from what I can gather from my relatives in the region (I dont want to specify which country but its a US ally) they've never seen a mood ike this, not even 2011, cops are out in force, people in the streets are shouting and yelling about Palestine seemingly at random and mosques are full of people talking about what's going on, which is strange cause it's no where near Friday, the Arab world is about to fuckin explode
Good hopefully they can force their chickenshit governments into being marginally less evil
According to Wikipedia the IDF has about 169k active troops and 465k reserves. 300k troops would be 50% of all Zionist armed forces, assuming total mobilization. Even then, that only leaves half the IDF to stare down Hezbollah in the north, keep a lid on the West Bank, and so forth.
Given how difficult it would be to call up every single reservist in 3 days, I think it's more likely that 300k is the total number of mobilized IDF troops, not just those preparing to beseige Gaza.
According to wiki IDF have 170000 active personnel, and that include non-combat ones, plus 465000 reservist and 3 million available for draft, but no chance they would do mobilisation in two days.
True, but the Hamas fighters have outstanding mobility and if they know their guerrilla tactics they'll "grab them by the belt buckle" negating or limiting Israeli air power, while using tunnels and superior knowledge of the urban layout to out maneuver and wreak havoc on those demoralized blocking units
This won't work. The tunnel networks prevented it in 2014 and they are vastly bigger and more complex now. There is no shifting Hamas without a painful ground operation.
all that the bombing will do is create Eternal Stalingrad. Rubble will be deadlier for IDF than structures.