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submitted 11 months ago by MicroWave@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

Young voters overwhelmingly say they would support President Biden over former President Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up if the 2024 presidential election were held today, according to a poll released Wednesday.

In the Economist/YouGov poll — conducted via web-based interviews Dec. 16-18 — more than half (53 percent) of registered voters under 30 said they would support Biden, and less than a quarter (24 percent) said they would support Trump.

Another 10 percent said they would support another candidate, 4 percent said they were not sure, and 9 percent said they wouldn’t vote.

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[-] NoneOfUrBusiness@kbin.social 7 points 10 months ago

I mean that's 53%. This demographic is supposed to be the one Biden is relying on to win, so this is a disastrous number.

[-] Asafum@feddit.nl 3 points 10 months ago

If the historically absent young vote is the one he's counting on then we're proper fucked.

Like I know this man has been in politics long enough to know that, he's one of the signatures on the magna carta.

[-] go_go_gadget@lemmy.world -3 points 10 months ago

Are you under the impression Biden won the 2020 general election without the votes of any young people?

[-] ZzyzxRoad@sh.itjust.works 3 points 10 months ago

They didn't say "any young people."

They pointed out that 18-29 year olds have historically had the lowest voter turnout of any group. It was higher in 2020 than in the previous election year, but overall, not many young people vote. Hyperbole sucks.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/984745/youth-voter-turnout-presidential-elections-us/

[-] go_go_gadget@lemmy.world -1 points 10 months ago

Did you miss this part of their comment?

If the historically absent young vote is the one he’s counting on then we’re proper fucked.

As you've just pointed out, young people did vote for Biden and he didn't win by some huge margin. If they hadn't voted for him in 2020 he would have lost. Thus Biden is absolutely counting on the "young vote" in 2024.

[-] Asafum@feddit.nl 3 points 10 months ago

Fine, I shouldn't have used the word absent as I didn't mean exactly 0. the person you're replying to understood what I meant though.

If the lowest turnout group is the one he's counting on then I'd say that's not a great bet.

[-] go_go_gadget@lemmy.world -2 points 10 months ago

... he is counting on them. What are you not understanding here? He wouldn't have won without them in 2020.

[-] Asafum@feddit.nl 1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Says the person who clearly isn't understanding what I'm saying...

If they are the lynchpin to his victory, that's a bad bet because they are the lowest turnout of any group of voters.

As in: Biden IS counting on them. They however show up to vote in the lowest numbers of any group, so it's a bad bet to be relying on them. They should have a better strategy than that.

I've seen you all over this thread defending young people because you voted. That's great that you did, but you aren't all young people.

[-] go_go_gadget@lemmy.world 0 points 10 months ago

And you're misunderstanding what I'm saying: Biden is depending on young people to vote in order to win the election while simultaneously fucking them over at every turn. Meanwhile people like you are defending this behavior.

[-] joenforcer@midwest.social 1 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

53% is not disastrous. In polling that isn't head-to-head, that's a landslide victory. It means that no consolidation of any other options will beat the majority. Trump is at 24%, and the rest is scattered with people that are more likely to tip their vote to Biden or not vote.

this post was submitted on 21 Dec 2023
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