Russia attempts a large offensive, trying to end the war before spring. The army makes modest gains, then the offensive stalls again. The war continues by January 2025.

The war in Gaza continues being a meat-grinder with heavy Palestinian, mostly civilian losses and a slow pace of the Israeli offensive. Eventually, a ceasefire happens somewhere in late spring and the situation returns to the pre-October status quo.

A new round of unrest in Venezuela happens after the election.

Fascists win a bunch of European elections.

Some new climate-change related catastrophes happen in both the global north and south, causing unrest and migration in the most affected countries.

New temperature records and "hottest month in history" happen several times through the year.

Some old celebrity or person in position of power, say the pope, dies.

Trump gets blocked from the ballot in multiple states, causing him to drop out of the race and not endorse anyone. Kennedy gets over 10% of the vote. If Biden survives, he wins. Nevertheless, the turnout will drop.

The bourgeois economies remain afloat, stagnant and sickly, but no crisis yet.

Right wing terrorism continues to rear its ugly head.

The UK government doesn't survive until the 2025 election. The Tories go further right, but bootleg Tony Blair wins and changes nothing about the current policies of the United Kingdom... except give more money to cops.

China and Russia remain stable.

The left keeps shrinking.