While I do work in the space, I'm more pessimistic. I think LLM's will allow the tech companies to breach plateaus that they've found with compositional models, but what we will see is other companies catch up to GPT4, perhaps surpassing it a little.

I won't pretend to be an expert on AI, but my view is that we're purely seeing a future where multiple companies will own LLM's. We also won't see many improvements over what we have now, and this is the pessimist in me again, what I think we'll see is that many of the benefits we saw from GPT4 were likely from the fact that their datasets contained an unbelievable amount of PII and stolen data. Without that data, we've seen ChatGPT get worse, and it's one area where researchers and other tech firms have tried to explain the performance gap.