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this post was submitted on 24 Jan 2024
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chapotraphouse
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Except Iowa Trump did even worse. Probably Desantis took some of his vote there, but not a lot clearly. Most desantis people look to have gone to Nicki, at least in nh.
I’m not saying I expect trump to lose. I’m just saying it’s interesting seeing that the gop electorate is still very much a battleground.
he won by 30 points in Iowa, how is that worse
He got 51% of the vote in Iowa vs 55% in New Hampshire. Which is "better", I'm less sure about, though.
I don't think that's a significant difference.
I tend to agree. Trump is certainly dominant among the red team. The exact nature and distribution of that dominance seems rather academic.
People seem to be misunderstanding my point. Every poll going into this had Trump absolutely smoking the entire field. Most people here expected a complete blowout. However the first two states Trump can only manage about 50% of the vote - in Iowa the not-Trump vote was even stronger. Yeah he’s still doing well and probably gonna win, the point is that the GOP electorate is less captured by Trump than most people here often portray.
People say SC will be different, maybe so, I’m not trying to predict anymore. Possibly right, NH was supposed to be Nikki’s best state. But based on these primaries Trump doesn’t seem to have completely taken over. Of course we’ll see how sc goes