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[-] HexbearGPT@hexbear.net 7 points 9 months ago

Biden will win easily. Trump has lost a lot of independents centrist type dorks. And abortion being illegal has pissed a lot of people off: look at all the votes since roe vs wade was overturned - democrats significantly over-performed in every single one.

[-] frogbellyratbone_@hexbear.net 13 points 9 months ago

counterpoint: at the debates Trump says "i stopped student loans and you restarted them"

[-] AlpineSteakHouse@hexbear.net 10 points 9 months ago

Trump has lost a lot of independents centrist type dorks.

To a certain extent but people use the Presidential election to punish the party in power for the shitty economy. Biden is presiding over a shit economy and Trump is ironically the memory of a better day.

And abortion being illegal has pissed a lot of people off: look at all the votes since roe vs wade was overturned - democrats significantly over-performed in every single one.

Roe V Wade was overrturned pretty close to the midterms so I don't think it's going to have the same effect 2 years later. Plus, Trump could very easily say "Biden is doing nothing, look at his record, he isn't even pro-choice."

Lastly, I think some general rat-fuckery in the favor of Trump is bound to happen in some states he may have lost otherwise.

[-] nat_turner_overdrive@hexbear.net 5 points 9 months ago

Nobody's excited about Biden, and that will hurt his turnout. Trump people are fucking stoked. If Biden does win, it won't be easy and it won't be by a lot.

this post was submitted on 26 Jan 2024
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