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this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2023
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I know it's just conventional wisdom, but among those who look back and forward and think about this stuff, it's been common conventional wisdom for a century that 20 years is an exceedingly long time for change.
I like Bill Gates' quote the best, "People often overestimate what will happen in the next two years and underestimate what will happen in ten."
https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/01/03/estimate/
Technological change is far different than social change in terms of what's accepted and what isn't.
Most of the people commenting to me have gotten caught up in that.
Most of the things people are pointing out in terms of social change in acceptance are things like gay marriage, smoking, and cannabis legalization.
What they fail to understand is that attitudes on many of those social issues can be somewhat cyclical and that the drastic changes they are seeing may be more surface level than as deep as they think.
Consider the overturn of Roe v Wade to understand how some of the shorter term "changes" in what's socially acceptable may be subject to revert back in the future.
There are absolutely a shit ton of people whose attitudes towards and acceptance of these things have not changed at all in 20 years.
Anyways, I'm not planning on replying to any more comments on this topic at this point.
It's been done to death.