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Hottest January on record sees the world reach 1.7°C warming mark | January was the hottest on record, at 1.7°C above the pre-industrial average for the month. (www.newscientist.com)

submitted 9 months ago by i_have_no_enemies@lemmy.world to c/world@lemmy.world

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This means there has been a 12-month period in which average global surface temperature was more than 1.5°C above the 1850 to 1900 average

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[-] Nudding@lemmy.world 2 points 9 months ago

If that's what you're worried about I've got some bad news about the next 10 years lol.

[-] vexikron@lemmy.zip 9 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

Im educated guessing there will be hundreds of millions of migrating climate refugees in this decade, followed by basically social unrest nearly everywhere, followed by governments becoming more authoritarian and war like, again, basically everywhere.

[-] Nudding@lemmy.world 6 points 9 months ago

Don't forget global food shortage, famine and mass casualty events.

[-] metaStatic@kbin.social 5 points 9 months ago

don't forget governments finally doing the right thing just when cutting off oil will exacerbate the humanitarian crisis without putting a dent in the climate.

[-] vexikron@lemmy.zip 3 points 9 months ago

Yep. The fundamental problem has actually always been that you cannot support the current number of living human beings at their current standard of living without petrochemical fertilizers.

Theoretically if we had globally embarked on some kind of mass agricultural campaign to entirely restructure the food production and global distribution mechanism starting maybe 30 or 20 years ago, we might have stood a chance.

But that never would have happened anyway. Too many people would have had their livelihoods ruined and/or their standard of living decreased to the point theyd revolt or politically prevent this from happening.

Oh well I guess, good luck with the next few decades everyone, its only going to get worse.

[-] vexikron@lemmy.zip 3 points 9 months ago

Yep, they all go together and all rapidly escalate and compound upon each other.

No you cannot predict /exactly/ what will happen.

But you can look at any analogous situation of a civilization collapse historically and combine that with a basic knowledge of modern political science and economics and a bit of psychology to understand that shit will get so bad that no government, corporation, ngo, your favorite trillionaire or political ideology will be able to stop the downward spiral.

this post was submitted on 12 Feb 2024

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