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If Biden loses in November, don’t blame voters who are angry over Gaza | Arwa Mahdawi
(www.theguardian.com)
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this post was submitted on 28 Feb 2024
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This figure is from polling data I pulled a few hours ago:
If the election were tomorrow, Biden loses.
If your primary concern is beating Trump, you need a better candidate than Biden.
But it's not tomorrow, and Hillary has direct knowledge of how much elections can change between March and November.
Biden needs to improve, no doubt about it, but the answer is not to pull the eject lever. The only way Biden is leaving this race is in a hearse.
Man you sound fucking desperate. You know we don't have to have Biden as the nominee right? We can pick some one better.
Sadly, at this point, it would seem you'd need a lot more blue no matter who to take some almost unknown candidate and get them up to speed to win. I haven't seen anyone suggest a better candidate - I'm trying to even think of the last time the same party won the election when the incumbent wasn't running. Was it Bush Senior?
I think we've got two options though neither have suggested they'll run. First off, John Stewart. He would actually excite enough voters as nominee, he's shown himself as an activist in his lobbying for support for first responders and veterans. He could win, easily. People on the left know and love him. He's very popular. Sure he's a TV personality, but so was Trump, so its not like its setting some kind of new precedent.
Second option, is Shawn Fein. He showed a major W in labor organizing and he has show he can organize at national level, and manage the press in such a way as to get a desired outcome. I think he's a longer shot, but a better shot than Biden right now. He can lock in the union vote. The problem will be liberals and neo-liberals, since they are largely anti-labor. The neo-liberals aren't going to cast a vote for a union Democrat. Its a question of if liberals have their heads too far up their own asses to not vote for a labor organizer.
We have options. Its not too late to rescue this.
If I thought he'd do it, John Stewart would be amazing. I think he might be the only potential chance, but he also (for some reason) isn't interested in actually running. I'd be really surprised if people hadn't approached him before and after 2016. And heck, Regan was a movie personality!
And I'd think he'd turn the Trump playbook back on Trump. Could you imagine John Stewart debating Trump? That's appointment TV right there, and Stewart would mop the floor with Trump in 2024. He destroyed Tucker back in 04 on Crossfire, and Tucker's a way better orator and presents way smarter than Trump ever has.
Stewart is a lock for any liberal millennial, we grew up with him during Bush. He'd get the 30-40 year olds excited again like Obama did in 08.
Too bad he wouldn't run - but also there's just no way to insert him cause primaries have started.
When's the last time an incumbent didn't get their party's nomination?
For U.S. president elected and then denied the nomination, it was Franklin Pierce in 1856.
Chester A. Arthur was VP who took over when James Garfield was assassinated, and he was denied the party nomination in 1884.