I mean, he has done his level best to alienate independent voters, a pretty large group that he needs to win in order to win reelection. He is trying to split the baby on the Gaza situation and he succeeded in pissing off both the left wing of his base and also a bunch of independents. But make no mistake, if he loses it isn't going to be just because of some pro-Hamas people in certain areas of Michigan. He is broadly unpopular on a number of issues. He could easily lose by a larger margin than Hillary Clinton did in 2016.