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this post was submitted on 04 May 2024
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This is the endgame from 30 years of mishandling the unwinding of the USSR.
The obvious answer was to follow the post-WWII playbook: welcome Russia with open arms and flood them with redevelopment aid, like Germany and Japan. Provide a soft landing for Ivan Ivanovich-- maybe enabled by a rush of cheap, available consumer goods or some temporary market supports-- and it's much harder to make a political message out of "were you better off before 1991?". Give them 20 years to willingly unwind their military presence and become economically dependent, and you'd buy an endless stream of Yeltsin-esque stooges that would greenlight the slow parasitization of the country.
That would have required delayed gratification though: you probably couldn't push the privatization grift immediately, for example.