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this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2024
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You underestimate the rate of technological advancement. “As we have them” is fleeting. Any well programmed AI will be better tomorrow than it was yesterday provided it has been utilized.
Unless you figured out how to escape binary computing, tomorrow, for everyone, it is really not gonna be the way you think it is.
The limitations I'm describing come from the very nature of how we practice computer science and engineering, you cannot derive a creative intelligence that thinks like a human from binary computing, just like how there are mass computations a human could never dream of performing in a timely manner the way even basic computers are capable of today.
Unless someone cracks the code to scalable quantum computing tomorrow, the closest current AI tech will ever come to being a replacement for human intelligence will be as a "Third Hemisphere" brain implant designed to unite Human Creativity with Silicon Mass Data Processing. Which, again, doesn't replace the human, it just moves the position of the tool they use to still be the one doing the work ultimately.
I’m not suggesting it will replace humans in likeness. I was wrong to say you underestimate AI’s potential. You overestimate the amount of interpersonal skill needed in many jobs. AI’s potential lies in replacing a large swath of industrial and logistics positions when utilized in specialized robotics. The logistics projects that are less than a year old are already meeting or exceeding expectations. As the technology advances, implementation costs come down, and more jobs will be lost.
I’m not against the technology. I just think we should be realistic about its ability to change the labor market, especially with wealthy corporations flooding the field with investments.