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Donald Trump does not get post-shooting poll boost
(www.newsweek.com)
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this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2024
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politics
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Polls are bullshit anyway.
Polls have been remarkably accurate in the last few election cycles.
The "polls are wrong" talking point is a convenient way for politicians to ignore the will of the people. Trump has done this for a long time, and recently Biden has taken up this practice to pretend that the "Real Americans" think he is fit to be president for another 4 years.
So please don't repeat this talking point, or at least read a bit into historical accuracy of polls before you declare them bullshit.
Guess I'm being overly optimistic thinking that Trump would be supported at all, let alone have a lead. Regardless of how shit a candidate Biden is, Trump is a fucking disgrace and a criminal among a whole other list of garbage. Appreciate you taking the time to call out my random comment on Lemmy.
Polls being wrong claim is more about how election results seem to be different than poll results. Special elections points to that.
Polls have a margin of error and election results have generally been within the 80% confidence interval 80% of the time.
It is true that when there are less polls (like in special elections) it's harder to get an understanding of the state of the race.