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[Polls] 338Canada popular vote projection
(lemmy.ca)
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I never really know with Conservatives voters, but I think the start of divergence of the Liberals and Conservative around June/July 2023 was around the time they decided to implement the Online News Act that temporarily dropped news from Google feeds and permanently from Facebook.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/google-canada-online-news-1.6892879
I think the Liberal incompetence at handling modern social media will end up costing them a lot of votes. Although I still stand by my prediction that by 2029ish Pierre will be one of the most despised Canadians.