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this post was submitted on 07 Aug 2024
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But that gas goes through Ukraine. They could have stopped it at any time.
Cut off tail of snake and it will eventually grow back. Cut off head of snake and it cannot grow back.
Everybody beheading snakes until the octopus arrives.
Yeah then you just remove the beak
But Ukraine was making a ton of money transporting Russian gas over their territory (before the war). Presumably they want the war to end with some kind of agreement that restores this deal, no?
They where making a lot of money there. But Russia was making more money and used it to stash a fund that allows them to finance this war and stave off the effects of the sanctions.
Ukraine will need to do much rebuilding anyway.. this allows them to leave Russia with a destroyed gas node and less income all the while keeping plausible deniability on who destroyed it. Russians blow up stuff "they did not mean to" all the time. No need to question who is to blame for the destruction of the node.. it's the party that started shooting.
Plus it gives Orban something to explain back home too once his citizens end up in the cold. Or he needs to pivot and spend his euros elsewhere meaning less money for Russia.
Win-win-win...
Russia has consistently used that gas as leverage over Ukraine and the EU for the past 20 years or so.
And the EU was happy to buy it instead of transitioning away from it, thinking trading with Russia would pacify it.
Sure, if the agreement is that Ukraine gets gas for free for the next 100 years as part of reperations russia has to pay.
?
By blowing it up and causing an ecological disaster in their own country?
There should be cut off valves where they could have done it safely, but this is Russian built, they used positive power coefficients on their nuclear power plants...
You can't count on common sense safety measures.
There are definitely cut-off valves. Ukraine already considered cutting off the gas but decided not to.
Sabotaging a gas line does a lot to damage your own position because natural gas is VERY toxic. Controlling the source though is ALL power
There's shutoff valves, they don't need to blow it up. That's why the story about Russia supposedly blowing up nordstream never made sense either.
They would be liable to be sued for massive amounts for breach of contract of they just shut it off normally. The pipe destruction got them off that hook.
(i'm personally not 100% sure who did it, but there were realistic reasons for Russia to do it)
Sued in which court, which would enforce it how exactly? Russia is already doing a whole invasion in breach of international law, (Putin is a defendant personally for war crimes) and the West has basically already sanctioned all assets within its reach.
sure.
i didn't claim the Kremlin to be the most rational people in the world.
It makes sense if the idea is that they want to force EU to use (fund) the new pipelines elsewhere.
That's a direct pipeline, it seems. Goes straight to the EU.
There's a different pipeline (maybe several, not sure) going through Ukraine.
Sabotage all the metering, etc. and let Ukraine and EU receive as much as they can for free.
And then just hold it. If Russia tries to reclaim it, they end up bombing their own pipeline.