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this post was submitted on 25 Aug 2024
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politics
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It doesn't really matter... The state as a whole is super blue thanks to Multnomah, Lane, and Linn/Benton counties, but the parts of the state that are red are super, super red.
The Libertarians really have no impact here.
2020:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Oregon
Joe Biden - 1,340,383 - 56.45%
Donald Trump - 958,448 - 40.37%
Libertarian - Jo Jorgensen - 41,582 - 1.75%
Green - Howie Hawkins - 11,831 - 0.50%
Progressive - Dario Hunter - 4,988 - 0.21%
Write-in - 17,089 - 0.72%
More people wrote in "Bernie Sanders" than the Green and Progressive candidates combined. LOL.
The article covered why this is important. It’s about congressional and down ballot races.
Two of Oregon’s Six congressmen are republican and there are a lot of republicans in state / county offices the more east you travel.
Yeah, the Libertarian candidates aren't a factor, at all.
OR-2 is ruby red, there will never be a scenario where a 3rd party moves the needle.
2022
Republican - Cliff Bentz - 208,369 - 67.5%
Democratic - Joseph Yetter - 99,882 - 32.4% Write-in - 425 - 0.1%
2020
Republican - Cliff Bentz - 273,835 - 59.9%
Democratic - Alex Spenser - 168,881 - 36.9%
Libertarian - Robert Werch - 14,094 - 3.1% Write-in - 623 - 0.1%
OR-5 is a little different. Boundaries got re-drawn to make room for OR-6, and that made it more conservative. Kurt Schrader (D) was disliked, got primaried and bounced out, but the candidate who replaced him wasn't well liked either.
2022
Republican - Lori Chavez-DeRemer - 178,813 - 50.91%
Democratic - Jamie McLeod-Skinner - 171,514 - 48.83%
Write-in - 906 - 0.26%
2020
Democratic - Kurt Schrader - 234,863 - 51.9% Republican - Amy Ryan Courser - 204,372 - 45.1% Libertarian - Matthew Rix - 12,640 - 2.8% Write-in - 771 - 0.2%