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Nate Silver issues "good news" for Harris on electoral college chances
(www.newsweek.com)
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this post was submitted on 20 Sep 2024
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politics
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I think Silver. Nate left FiveThirtyEight and now the site doesn't even publish any kind of predictive model.
When did Nate Leave 538? Screenshot was from before the 2016 election.
Nate left 538 about a year ago. He now publishes his own SubStack for subscription and does a lot of consulting, notably including a hefty contract with Peter Theil the well know billionaire and right wing power broker who pushed JD Vance to be the Vice Presidential candidate for Trump
I think it's more than ABC News fired Nate and most people involved with FiveThirtyEight. Happened awhile ago, at least a year or two ago.
I looked it up. Looks like he were with 538 from 2008-2023.
So to answer your original question, “It’s from 538 while Nate was still there” but I couldn’t say how directly involved he was with the models that backed this image from 2016. My assumption is that he would have been fairly deeply involved in the models though.
He founded 538, and was the primary person behind the models while he was there. Got passed around between the New York Times and ESPN and ABC.
He took the model with him when he left.
As another poster mentions, there is plenty to criticize him over. I'm not even sure about the model anymore, but it's not totally out of line from other models, either.