Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
We will see what kind of agreement Arce and Evo will make. I really hope they end this crisis and choose a strong leftist candidate for the next election.
My vibes-based bias is towards Morales, his ability to mobilize, and against the government's limitations on who runs. But I don't know enough to be confident. Do you have a read on where the most shenanigans are?
Mostly around La Paz (Capital, Sucre is the Judiciary Seat) and El Alto (near the Peruvian-Bolivian-Chilean Border).
Oh sorry I asked a very unclear question. I mean do you have a read on which camp (Morales vs Arce) has more shenanigans?
Ah, you mean which side is based and which side is cringe? I believe Evo represents the radical faction of the MAS party (meaning mainly that he is very pro-native, pro-China, anti-US and democratic socialism), while Arce represents the more moderate/pragmatic faction of MAS (meaning that he is anti-racist, pro-China, but pragmatic when it comes to dealing with the US and Brazil, he is practically a SocDem and follows very similar political points to Lula da Silva).
Both are leftists, but I think Arce's faction appeals more to the Bolivian Bourgeoisie with slow changes for the working class, while Evo's faction focuses more on faster radical changes for the working class. Evo has also been criticized for these actions by some radical leftists, because they see it as splitting the left movement in two, and because some people see that Evo is doing this because he doesn't trust anyone else to be the leader of the left/president of Bolivia.
Arce is criticized for being pragmatic, for the economy not doing so well thanks to Covid-19 (Arce actually did very well with vaccines, he gave them quickly and for free thanks to China, but due to the social conservatism of the population, many people didn't get vaccinated, which had an economic impact), and there is the problem of the forest fires that are happening all over South America (probably caused by the extreme right and organized crime, as seen in Brazil) which has had a negative impact on Arce's popularity and the economy.
Thank you! This is very helpful for getting initially oriented until I do some proper reading.
wrt folks that say Evo is splitting the party, do you know what are the takes on Arce calling their marches and blockades an attempted coup?
From what I understand, Evo and his supporters held a party congress but Arce and his VP refused to be present there. Evo got angry and kicked Arce and the VP out of the party. Evo also kicked out everyone that is part of the goverment and 28 MAS MPs that supported Arce. Then Evo with his supporters voted himself as the MAS presidential candidate for the 2025 elections. Evo excuse was that by not being present, Arce had renounced his position within the party. This faction is called the Radicales (The Radicals) and is led by Evo and Elizabeth Paco.
Arce refused to recognized that he was kicked out of the party, Arce and his supporters created their own faction called the Bloque Renovador (Renewal Bloc). And this faction voted Arce as MAS presidential candidate. Some months after this, the Supreme Court of Bolivia voted against Evo, saying he couldn't run for president again because he reached the limit of terms one can held as President. And since Evo's referendum failed in 2019, he didn't have constitutional support for that.
I think Arce is calling this a coup attempt, because Evo is pressuring Arce into doing what Evo wants. Which is to let him run for president and support him as candidate (not to say Arce doesn't have problems. Most people probably were happier during Evo's era since the economy was doing much better than before, and the country was much more stable, Bolivia is known for its coups d'état, and is the country that has had the most coups d'états in history. There's even a joke about Bolivian exiles in the US, who say they should keep their New York subway ticket card, as there will probably be another coup and they'll be expelled again).. Which even Álvaro García Linera (Evo VP, Guerrila Fighter, Leftist and member of the White Bolivian minority) criticized, both of them for not helding dialogues and Evo for doing this and spreading some lies about Arce that were created by the Far-Right, like how the goverment has ties with Cartels (something they also said about Evo's goverment)
Ah, seems like an old-fashioned power struggle. Thank you for the detailed rundown!