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submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.


We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the "Gaza Metro" and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I've seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.

The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from "very limited" - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah's fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.

Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad's recent suggestion of using "quasi-state actor" as a more respectful replacement for the typical "non-state actor" seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah's path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah's supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 51 points 2 months ago

Russian Army Liberates Vuhledar and Advances Unstoppably Towards Southern Donbas - Telesur English

Article

Russian troops are taking territory at a speed not seen in Donbas since the beginning of their special military operation.

On Wednesday, the Russian army achieved its greatest military victory in more than six months of fighting in Ukraine by taking control of Vuhledar, a strategic area that opens the door to southern Donbas.

“Indeed, our soldiers are already in Vuhledar. They raised the Russian flag on the local administration building,” reported Yan Gaguin, an advisor to the Donetsk People’s Republic. A few minutes later, the Ukrainian army’s Khortytsia operational-strategic group announced the withdrawal of the troops that had been defending this stronghold since March 2022.

The capture of Vuhledar is the Kremlin’s biggest success since the seizure of Avdiivka in February, the main town under Ukrainian control on the outskirts of Donetsk’s capital.

The TASS agency reported that the Ukrainian army had suffered “enormous losses” for refusing to abandon the defense of Vuhledar in time, something confirmed by other media, which included testimonies of Ukrainian soldiers criticizing their commanders for a hasty retreat, often on foot.

The war monitoring platform DeepState, which is close to the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, also confirmed the city was lost, while the Ukrainian General Staff did not even mention the situation in that city in its daily report.

Vuhledar, which had more than 14,000 inhabitants before the war, was one of the main targets of the Russian offensive that began in Donbas in October 2023. Given the continuous attacks on the Crimean Bridge, the railway line between Donetsk and the peninsula became a logistical alternative, but its proximity, just a few kilometers from Vuhledar, made it too unsafe.

For that reason, Russian authorities were even forced to build a new railway line between the southern Russian region of Rostov and the town of Volnovakha in Donetsk. Due to the losses suffered during the two major offensives led by the Russian army in the first winter of the war, Moscow changed its tactics.

From frontal assaults with mechanized brigades, which were destroyed by minefields and Ukrainian units stationed in multi-story buildings located on the high ground where the city is situated, the Russians shifted to attacking with small detachments from the flanks, betting on a war of attrition.

The final assault on Vuhledar began less than two weeks ago and was facilitated by the capture of the mining operations located north of the city. Ukrainian military personnel admitted that the loss of the stronghold is a direct consequence of the severe shortage of manpower to maintain their positions.

Without the capture of Vuhledar, it was impossible to gain control of all of southern Donbas. Now, Moscow has a clear path ahead. According to the U.S. media, Russian troops are taking territory at a speed not seen in Donbas since the beginning of the military campaign.

In the coming weeks, Ukraine will very likely also lose control of Pokrovsk, one of the main objectives of the current Russian offensive, along with Toretsk. One of the goals, further north, is the town of Kurakhove, which holds vast lithium resources, one of the most valuable assets in this war.

Additionally, the Russians are already advancing eastward to besiege Velyka Novosilka, another important stronghold near the border between Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky acknowledged that the situation on the eastern front is very complicated upon his return from the United States, where he sought approval for the use of long-range missiles against Russian territory, a red line for the Kremlin.

this post was submitted on 30 Sep 2024
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