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this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2024
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Hopefully this is a path to the much-needed relief from the blockade that's strangling Cuba
Indeed, one of the rules of BRICS is that countries cannot sanction one another. This would open Cuba to unfettered trade with the biggest economic bloc in the world.
The actual mechanisms of the Cuban blockade are that any ship/shipping company that trades with Cuba is banned from American ports for the next 6 months. If BRICS is openly inviting Cuba in, that means that a meaningful chunk of the economic bloc's logistics companies feel comfortable effectively never dealing with the US, which has massive implications for global trade going forward.
Indeed, and I think this is possible because BRICS is already a bigger trading bloc than G7. It's also where most actual manufacturing happens. So, if the US continues its policy then US companies will end up in far more pain than the respective BRICS companies. Incidentally, it's the same dynamic that we currently see playing out with sanctions on Russia where most of the pain is being felt in Europe.
I don't know enough about Chinese business to be sure, but theoretically they could make "The Sino-Cuba Shipping Company" that handles all direct trade with Cuba and could sideline that rule.
Or maybe they're calling US's bluff? I doubt the US would continue the embargo and sanctions if it devastated its own economy as a result.
Regardless, this is great news and I hope Cuba gets admitted and treated as it should!
You'd think so, but US policy towards Cuba has hardly ever been rational.
that's a hell of an "if"
That is not historically how the blockade works, but you never know.