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Arab American Voters in Dearborn, Michigan, Heard Trump’s Case
(www.nytimes.com)
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this post was submitted on 07 Nov 2024
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OTOH, I can see it from the other perspective.
I voted for Kamala, but I also recognize that NOT VOTING for Kamala is probably the fastest way to get any change in US Israel policy.
If Kamala won, nothing was going to change in Gaza. The current slow genocide would continue unabated with full US financial support.
Trump won. There is now a chance that the genocide will accelerate. However, there are strong reasons to believe this will not be the case. Israel has always had to balance its genocidal territorial ambitions with global public opinion. Trump will not stop Netanyahu from bulldozing the West Bank, but the threat of embargo from every nation in Europe might. Israel can only go far without risking its existentially necessary trade links. As nice as US aid is to have, this broader international trade is Israel's real life-blood.
So while there is a chance of acceleration, the chance is not particularly large. In reality, the ultimate outcome of Trump and Harris administrations is likely identical in terms of Gaza.
On the other hand, a Kamala loss does present the one narrow window for possible change on US Israeli policy. Kamala chose Israel over winning the election. She gave up her presidency for Netanyahu. She betrayed her own base, and she towed the Israeli line, and what did it get her? She was still portrayed as the enemy of Israel and lost anyway.
That lesson will be remembered by future Democratic candidates. And that lesson is that cowing to Israel does not guarantee victory. And that is really the only realistic path forward we have right now to any change in US Israeli policy. It's going to require that Democrats get their heads out of their asses and realize that Israel is not such a winning issue anymore. THAT is what is required for real change. And hopefully, with Kamala's loss, at least some progress can be made on Democrat's chronic case of Israel fellatio.
The earliest that “lesson” will have any relevance is in 4 years time. In the meantime Trump is going to give Netanyahu everything he needs to quickly level Gaza, the West Bank, and Lebanon and start construction on a greater Israel. In 4 years time whatever “lesson” the Dems might have learnt will be meaningless.