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this post was submitted on 09 Nov 2024
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Nobody will step up, because manufacturing electronics like this is incredibly expensive, and any new president in 2028 could instantly drop Trump's dumb ass tariffs.
So you'd be going into an expensive, already risky business, with an even bigger risk that one day the competition suddenly drops their prices by ~40% due to a drop in tariffs. Nobody's gonna take that risk.
And even if somebody successfully did take on that risk, they'd charge just under the price of the electronics that have the tariffs baked into the price, so congrats, no matter what we'd esentially be paying a ~40% markup on electronics, and that's before accounting for all the businesses that raise prices even further than the tariffs to account for the drop in demand, and supply chain halt.
Not to mention literally all of the good processors come from Taiwan.
We've also already gone through the trouble of bringing TSMC stateside. Initially they weren't able to round up enough skilled workers to be able to produce anything close to the quality of chips made in Taiwan. They've since made improvements, but we can't hope to match the output either quality or quantity-wise due to differences of work culture and trying to replicate Taiwan's processes that make bleeding edge performance possible without binning most of the production line.
Yeah. It's gonna be a shit show.