Image is of a Russian missile impacting Ukraine.
As we rapidly approach the fourth anniversary of the beginning of the Ukraine War (an anniversary I absolutely did not expect would occur while the two sides were still in combat), we have seen Russia turn to a new strategy, starting late last year but intensifying in December and now January.
Russia seems intent to disconnect Ukrainian cities from the electrical grid by focussing bombing on thermal, gas, and hydro stations, causing major power blackouts across the country. Russia is also bombing substations relatively close to Ukraine's three nuclear power plants (Zaporzhye, the fourth, remains under Russia control), studiously avoiding hitting the premises of the NPPs themselves for obvious reasons. Even if they're far away from the NPPs, striking the substations does have risks, because if the nuclear reactors aren't shut off before the substations are bombed, there is a possibility that there will be insufficient backup power to prevent a meltdown - hence why Russia hasn't really attempted to do this for four years.
Most of the electricity generated in Ukraine comes from the nuclear power plants, both because of the infrastructure they had initially (Ukraine was 7th in the world in nuclear electricity generation before the war) and because Russia has bombed most non-nuclear power stations and substations already. Over the last couple weeks, we have seen Ukrainian media fly into a frenzy about long-lasting blackouts, especially in the middle of winter. After the Zionist entity destroyed virtually all civilian infrastructure in Gaza while the West cheered on, they now appear to have changed their mind on whether such strikes are an effective and humanitarian option to subject millions of people to.
Regardless of whether you personally believe these Russian strikes are justified (I'm pretty iffy myself), it must be stressed that Ukraine has been bombing Russian tankers and oil refineries and power stations for a long time now, so in a sense, this is a retaliation. It's also remarkable, compared to Western wars, that Ukraine was even still allowed to possess a functioning electrical grid for nearly four years into a war of this magnitude. That all being said, while Ukrainian strikes have been somewhat but not overly impactful on the Russian oil sector, the response is clearly very asymmetrical: Ukraine's power grid is, according to Ukrainian energy corporations, now 70% degraded and is virtually impossible to now repair, and blackouts can last most of the day.
For everybody's sake, I hope a ceasefire and peace deal will be reached soon. But after four years of seeing opportunities for an end to this war squandered over and over, I'm not holding my breath.
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The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Update on the US military buildup against Iran (I feel like I've done far too many of these already, if so just tell me to stop and I'll try condense it. )
Air defence systems are still being transferred from Fort Hood to the Middle East. But in a first, a C-5M Super Galaxy super heavy strategic airlift/transport aircraft has shown up at Fort Hood. This is the largest airlifter in USAF service, substantially bigger than the C-17s that have visited so far. It also had a four digit RCH callsign instead of a 3 digit one (indicating a higher priority mission). This is likely transfering air defence equipment that is too large for the C-17, potentially components of the THAAD system. Fort Hood is home to 3x PATRIOT battalions and 2x THAAD batteries.
Size comparison between C-17 and C-5:
A further deployment of B-52H Stratofortress bombers to Guam in the Pacific is currently taking place to accompany the 2x B-52s that arrived earlier today. 3x KC-135 Stratotanker mid air refueling aircraft have taken off from Fairchild Air Force base, callsigns DEED 21-23, same as the previous mission. So a further 2-3x B-52s should arrive in Guam within the next 12 hours. This mirrors previous deployments of strategic bombers (B-1, B-52) to the Pacific when the US escalates militarily in other parts of the world, such as before previous airstrikes against Yemen, Iran and Venezuela.
There are also additional flights out of Fort Bliss in Texas now, home to 4x PATRIOT battalions (one of which is a headquarters battalion), an IBCS command unit, and 3x THAAD batteries. This is not being reported by any of the twitter/telegram "OSINT accounts". This C-17 is flying from Fort Bliss to Portsmouth International Airport in New Hampshire, United States.
Portsmouth International Airport is then used as a refuelling/cargo hub for C-17s crossing the Atlantic, like this one:
The US is transporting tonnes air defence equipment to the Middle East from both Fort Hood and Fort Bliss. What exactly is being moved and exact amounts is unknown, but the fact that both Fort Bliss and Fort Hood are involved is quite substantial. A Patriot battery usually takes around 9x C-17 flights to move, a battalion (6 batteries usually) 60-70+.
Don't stop and don't condense it, please, I really appreciate your detailed breakdowns for pathetic libs like myself
Seconded
Wow I've seen a c-130 in person and that was crazy, it felt surreal to see it leave the ground. I can't even imagine how much bigger the c-5 is, it's insane.
C-17s in front, C-5 in the middle, C-130s in the back. These planes are massive. The Antonov An-124 is even bigger than the C-5...
Biggest plane Ives seen in person is the Airbus A380. The giant "double decker bus" passenger plane. It's a monstrosity. I've been inside 747s in museums, going to the small top deck on those is already surreal, a whole full length top deck on the A380 must be even more impressive.
The size of the C-5 reminds me of custom SC2 campaigns where the capital ship would be bigger than the entire screen to make it more lore accurate.
Are the other two THAAD batteries that were used previously still deployed in region?