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Sorry if thia type of question isn't allowed, I tried on AskPolitics as well but that comm looks mega dead so I'm x-posting here

geteilt von: https://lemmy.dbzer0.com/post/57245755

Forgive me if I'm woefully misunderstanding how this all works.

If the government is shut down, and they can't reach an agreement to open it back up, what happens?

Short term? What does it look like in the coming weeks to months if no agreement is reached?

Mid-Term? Within the next year, if things are still all shut down, what happens to things like trade, tax payments, public services?

Long-term? If, worst case scenario, the divisions between the parties with power have grown so though they can't ever reach an agreement: what happens then? Is it an anarchist state? Do we have new coup attempts to take power? Does the US balkanize?

I'm not meaning to inject any sort of bias in my line of questions, I hope I haven't led anyone to any specific conclusions.

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[-] HubertManne@piefed.social 5 points 1 day ago

Personally I have no inclination for a government that, has paramilitary grabbing folks on the streets and renditioning to literally devil knows where as they will refuse to say where people have been sent, to be running. It can be shutdown forever as it stands now.

[-] syzygy@lemmy.ml 5 points 1 day ago

ICE still has funding though is my understanding.

[-] HobbitFoot@thelemmy.club 6 points 1 day ago

We don't really know. I expect things to degrade until we hit a constitutional crisis of some form.

[-] djsoren19@lemmy.blahaj.zone 24 points 2 days ago

The U.S. balkanizing is what I expect to occur sometime in the next few decades. Divisions have just grown so strongly that there already are functionally a few different Americas, even if we're still bound together for now.

In terms of the current shutdown though, I suspect it will last through Thanksgiving, and we will see the mother of all air traffic catastrophes. Multiple high profile crashes, tons of airports fully shutdown, lots of airspace shutdown, all amidst one of the busiest travel times of the year. Afterwards, there will be enough pressure to get the Reps to agree to a clean continuing resolution, which will fund the govt through January, and then we'll do the whole song and dance again.

[-] Doomsider@lemmy.world 42 points 2 days ago

If you have conservative reps you could try calling and writing their office and demand they compromise on health care. With enough pressure they will cave.

If you have progressive reps call and congratulate them and tell them not to stop until the conservatives start participating in governance

Many of your later questions would rely on too much conjecture to answer. The simple truth is this unprecedented and we don't know what is going to happen.

I share many of your concerns as many people here do.

[-] hddsx@lemmy.ca 9 points 2 days ago

I have a conservative rep and I’ve thought about writing to them - but not for the reasons you state.

My plea would be to replace the speaker as the House isn’t working but they are getting paid. Even if the senate comes to some compromise, it still needs to be passed by the house IIRC.

[-] mesamunefire@piefed.social 33 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Well California is just making their own equivalent of federal programs. So if you are on the west coast you are doing better than most.

[-] birdwing@lemmy.blahaj.zone 12 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

I hate to ask, but source?

[-] mesamunefire@piefed.social 37 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

You should always ask for sources ;)

Those are all on top of my head. In my local area we have affordable housing money that is still making its way into the community and its helping out quite a bit. California does a TON for its people.

[-] Truscape@lemmy.blahaj.zone 7 points 2 days ago

Man, I love that California is my home. Fun fact by the way, we have our own state anthem, and it actually slaps

Although more people associate it with the NCR from Fallout: New Vegas than the actual state. But hey, something to aspire towards! :)

[-] mesamunefire@piefed.social 5 points 2 days ago

I've never heard the anthem! That's crazy.

[-] Truscape@lemmy.blahaj.zone 4 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Cody (from AlternateHistoryHub) covered most of the states' anthems in this video and even ranked them.

Spoilers:

Tap for spoilerCalifornia's anthem gets S tier :)

[-] UltraGiGaGigantic@lemmy.ml 0 points 1 day ago

Man, I love that California is my home

I wonder what the prison slaves think of California

[-] Truscape@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Wow, that's one interesting comment history you got there. I'm guessing... Floridian?

Also, as someone who has family members who have worked with clients in the California prison system to make sure they get their rights exercised, we do have due process in this state, unlike your right-wing fantasies, MAGAt.

Go suck off Desantis, and while you're at it, why not visit Alligator Auschwitz for some tourism of the "accomplishments" of your state.

[-] ArsonButCute@lemmy.dbzer0.com 5 points 1 day ago

Am am pretty lucky to be in a state with a lot of good social programs, I'm a bit worried though because my state relies quite a bit on federal funding.

[-] locuester@lemmy.zip 1 points 1 day ago

That’s what they want. Smaller fed, more state level.

[-] dessalines@lemmy.ml 26 points 2 days ago

The long term is typically what happens to empires like Rome or Britain: a slow, whiny, unstable decline into obscurity until everyone eventually leaves.

Rome had so many civil wars, imperial overextension, political instability, famines, and an inability to cope with disasters, that by the time it fell, it hollowed out to like < 1% of its peak population.

/end doomposting

At this point just scrap the current government and start fresh. The current administration is a joke.

[-] Korhaka@sopuli.xyz 17 points 2 days ago

Long term you should probably come up with a system that doesn't fail like this by something like a government shutdown...

[-] jimmux@programming.dev 14 points 2 days ago

In Westminster-like systems, I believe this would be loss of supply, where it's expected to trigger an election. It seems to work well as an incentive for governments to do their bloody job, but I'm sure they would find a way to abuse or ignore it.

[-] Korhaka@sopuli.xyz 2 points 1 day ago

IIRC in the UK the civil service just carry on as usual. The Northern Irish government was shut down for 2 years.

[-] Leonyx@kbin.melroy.org 10 points 2 days ago

Could we finally have a revolution by that point? Because I'm about tired of just talking and thinking of a revolution. We should've had about three big ones by this point.

[-] XTL@sopuli.xyz 3 points 1 day ago

You already had it. They pretended to have an election and then they slowly dismantle the remains of a pretend democracy while the dictatorship/oligarchy continues. You don't wave banners or do any big loud moves and there's minimum resistance. Hell, you can even have a little concentration camps and death squads as a treat.

Just like there's been WWIII going on in Europe for years now with minimal resistance outside the immediate warzones.

And there's been several country wide invasions in recent decades. A bit of news for a while, but as long as you don't put up new flags, they're forgotten about after a few years as businesses get going again.

[-] Blaze@piefed.zip 6 points 2 days ago

Thank you for suggesting it

[-] The_Che_Banana@beehaw.org 11 points 2 days ago

There won't be a long term. The mid term would see enough people out of work or without resources for food/shelter etc that they will resort to alternative means of acquiring resources which will then give the administration the excuse it needs to enact martial law

...and that will be that

[-] UltraGiGaGigantic@lemmy.ml 5 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I refuse to believe they need "The Event" to happen to accomplish their goals. If ot doesn't organicallyhappen, one will be simply manufactured as we have in the past.

[-] The_Che_Banana@beehaw.org 3 points 1 day ago

oh absolutely....there probably won't be an event....there hasn't been one yet and he's already deployed the troops

[-] humanspiral@lemmy.ca 8 points 2 days ago

You could ask your state/cities (those with income taxes like NYC) to undertake a federal tax strike where all taxes are owed to local jurisdiction, and all payroll exemptions are directed to the local jurisdiction.

[-] ArsonButCute@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 day ago

That's a great idea. Regarding local jurisdiction, is that something tbatvahould be suggested to a mayor or to local representatives to the state?

[-] humanspiral@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 day ago

A tax strike is safer if done individually, rather than under command from someone with a return address. US federation must collapse if its only mandate is to serve Israel/oligarchs with only gaslighting of people's interests.

But, shutdown, unfair project funding redistribution, military occupation, illegal busification of brown people, tariffs meant to make products expensive, not paying SNAP/health assistance, exposing your citizens to terrorism for baseless demonic warmongering policy are all breaches of "States rights" and centralized federation's obligations to members.

It is more democratic for jurisdictions to negotiate how much tribute they give to Federation, because without a balance of benefits returned for their contributions, fascist oligarchist oppression supported by parasitic populist haters clearly results. When politics are so divisive, divorce is better than fascism, or perceived fascism when other side gets power. A tax strike is first move towards secession, But tribute paid by cities/states for non aggression is a fairer tax system than what we have now. Pay for the programs you want either at the state level or through an association of states.

[-] ArsonButCute@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 points 1 day ago

Thank you, everyone who responded.

this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2025
50 points (96.3% liked)

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