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Politics 101 (lemmy.ml)
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I utterly loathe Hanlon's razor. It's peak naivete, especially when it's applied to groups of people that have ulterior motives - like business interests. It essentially gives companies a carte blanche to do evil shit, and when they get caught, all they have to do is blush and say "oops, how could that have possibly happened???!" But in reality, they were just doing some sort of self-serving behavior and hoping they could get away with it. And of course, they'll just end up doing it again a few months or years later on when the attention has died away.

Moral of the story: Hanlon's razor does not apply to corporations or other business interests. If it's your neighbors, well maybe give them the benefit of the doubt. If it's a multinational conglomerate, hell no, fuck that. Assume guilt 100% of the time.

[-] Malgas@beehaw.org 9 points 4 days ago

I think you're underestimating the heavy lifting being done by "adequately". Does stupidity adequately explain a corporation doing evil shit that made them a bunch of money? Absolutely not.

[-] Buddahriffic@lemmy.world 8 points 4 days ago

I consider the whole set of razors to be pseudologic. Just because something helps pick a conclusion regardless of context doesn't mean it helps pick the correct conclusion.

I also don't get why they seem to be popular with people who like to act scientific, because they seem very unscientific to me.

But yeah, hanlon's is specifically stupid and I suspect it was popularized precisely because it advocates a default level of reasonable doubt for malicious people to hide in.

[-] agamemnonymous@sh.itjust.works 7 points 4 days ago

But razors aren't supposed to be logic in the first place. They're not objective analytical tools to arrive at a conclusion, because they weren't designed to be. They're framing tools to help establish an initial hypothesis.

Occam's razor doesn't claim that the simplest explanation is true, it merely says it's the most practical assumption, all else being equal. If additional data provides more support for a more complicated explanation, Occam's really doesn't require you to cling to the simpler one.

Similarly Hanlon's razor doesn't claim that stupidity is universally a better explanation than malice, only that is the most practical assumption, all else being equal. It does not require you to ignore patterns of behavior that shift the likelihood toward malice.

[-] Buddahriffic@lemmy.world 3 points 3 days ago

Yeah, that use of them makes sense, as a method to churn out hypotheses. But their wording suggests to me that they might not have been created for that purpose (Hanlon's uses the word "never") and I think the vast majority of the time I see people invoking them in discussions is to try to discredit another comment, not to explain why they are presenting a hypothesis (in fact, once you have the hypothesis, the brainstorming method used to get there isn't really relevant anymore, next step should be determining ways to support or oppose that hypothesis).

It's just frustrating seeing people quoting razors as if they are supporting evidence, and that is the pseudologic part.

I'll also point out that "pseudoscience" or "pseudologic" doesn't mean it's useless, just that it isn't as profound as many seem to believe it is.

[-] agamemnonymous@sh.itjust.works 2 points 3 days ago

I'd say more "select from" than "churn out". It's not about generating a hypothesis, it's about having a collection of hypotheses and deciding which should be your default until additional evidence is provided.

Hanlon's razor says "Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity", and "adequately" is pulling at least as much weight as "never". If stupidity becomes a less adequate explanation, nothing stops you from considering malice as an alternative.

People use things wrong all the time, sometimes the vast majority of the time (e.g. "literally"). Just because people use a concept pseudologically doesn't make it intrinsically pseudological.

I also don’t get why they seem to be popular with people who like to act scientific, because they seem very unscientific to me.

They absolutely are. And it's very aggravating to see people immediately invoking it without a second thought. They just assume it to be some absolute universal truth that should be accepted without question. But why?? How is that any different from religion at that point?

[-] OccamsRazer@lemmy.world 0 points 3 days ago

The paradox of intolerance is the one that's been getting to me lately. People forgot that its a paradox and think it's justification for them to attack people they disagree with.

[-] cypherpunks@lemmy.ml 26 points 4 days ago
[-] Dippy@beehaw.org 7 points 4 days ago

This is a better way of saying what I tried to say in my own comment

[-] lastlybutfirstly@lemmy.world 1 points 3 days ago

This as a life philosophy leads to violent road rage.

[-] Kazumara@discuss.tchncs.de 9 points 4 days ago

Not sure what you are saying. With the order of the meme reversed it doesn't make it obvious which point is supposed the clearer point of view...

[-] cypherpunks@lemmy.ml 6 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Not sure what you are saying. With the order of the meme reversed it doesn’t make it obvious which point is supposed the clearer point of view…

It isn't reversed compared to how this meme format is usually used: the glasses-on image is on the bottom, and associated with the viewpoint OP is saying is correct/better.

If one hasn't seen (or has forgotten) the film, this is the way that makes sense, since glasses (generally) improve the wearer's vision.

This meme's canonical format is however in fact at odds with the actual scene in the 2002 film:

peter parker glasses meme, but reversed so he is wearing glasses in the top frame instead of the bottom. bottom text "In the movie Spiderman, Peter Parker realizes he can see more clearly without his glasses so the order oftthe images should be flipped", top text is the same but blurry

A related meme form which doesn't have this ambiguity is the much older they live sunglasses - here the position of the two images are used less consistently (though as with peter parker, usually glasses-on is the lower one) but the glasses being on showing the truth actually fits with how it is in the film.

[-] HiddenLayer555@lemmy.ml 14 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

If there is an established pattern of malice, it is stupidity to attribute it to stupidity.

If they were that stupid eventually something would go right for us and against billionaires and yet it never does. If someone really believes they're all stupid but all their mistakes happen to benefit the exact same group of people who pay them, then idk what to tell them.

[-] onlooker@lemmy.ml 18 points 5 days ago

Ah, yes. The Nolnah's Razor.

[-] ChicoSuave@lemmy.world 3 points 5 days ago

Nolnah knew

[-] zeca@lemmy.ml 11 points 4 days ago

Use the first version with personal relationships. Dont let paranoia ruin your social circle.

With politics, assume the worst.

[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 6 points 5 days ago

Sometimes you twist yourself into pretzels trying to find rational explanations for certain things assuming they were done with malice when they were, in fact, just done by stupidity. E.g. Trump's tariffs and the kidnapping of Maduro. Both actions had very predictable downsides for the US with virtually no upside.

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 19 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Did it have no upside or is there a very clear case of corruption?

Keep in mind that it doesn't have to benefit everyone in the US or the US as a whole. It's a few people who are massively benefiting from it and they are conveniently Trumps financial backers.

[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 2 points 4 days ago

You're missing the part that the VN gov already was willing to do everything they're current doing. They were willing to let American companies come in and extract some oil, that was Maduro's offer.

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 3 points 4 days ago
[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 2 points 4 days ago

You're not understanding what I said; Maduro had already made an offer to let US companies do exactly what they're doing right now. Venezuela's oil company doesn't have the capital to fully exploit the country's reserves so they've always been open to working with the US and their oil companies. Maduro also understood that that's what the US was after and was willing to compromise. So yes, it kinda looks like Venezuela is bending the knee, but they're not doing anything now that Maduro wasn't willing to do before.

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 2 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Whatever Maduro did before was clearly not enough for the US and the oil cartel. They don't want a mutually beneficial agreement. They want to steal everything and leave a few crumbs for the dictator they install to keep them happy and their junta armed.

All we need to know is that Trump received big donations from oil lobbies and then after winning the presidency he used the US military to give his donors what they paid for.

If you think Trump is this stupid then he fooled you.

[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 1 points 4 days ago

But they're not installing a dictator, that's why I'm saying the operation didn't do anything. Trump kidnapped Maduro and changed nothing because the same government is still in place, and Venezuela retains the same stance.

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 1 points 4 days ago

They literally put a pre-selected official in full control who then decided to privatize the nationalized oil?

[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 1 points 3 days ago

Delcy Rodríguez is PSUV and her whole family are ideologically committed Chavistas. As I said, the oil being privatized was something Maduro was already willing to do (and Exxon already had a deal to extract Venezuelan oil, being the only company that was exempt from the sanctions)

[-] Amnesigenic@lemmy.ml 9 points 5 days ago

Upside of adding and removing tariffs like he's doing is being able to selectively suppress stock prices, drive them down scoop them up at a discount then roll back the relevant tariff and wait for the stock price recover

[-] iByteABit@lemmy.ml 1 points 4 days ago

Trump may be the perfect idiot to act as the facade of the capitalist class and pull all the spotlights on his person, but he isn't the one calling all the shots. As always, it's the capitalists that really shape the direction of politics, and now they have a great loud distraction so they can pass all their fascist policies to terrorize the working class and make it all look like the decision of a few bad apples that corrupted "democracy".

When all this is done, assuming that there will be another election then, they will say that the big bad cheeto man has been defeated and now we can live harmoniously again, returning to the blissful ignorance of everyday class exploitation.

[-] SoyViking@hexbear.net 5 points 5 days ago

Never attribute to stupidity or malice that which is adequately explained by a combination of both.

The people who rule us are stupid and evil.

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 14 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

False. Their acts are out of malice not stupidity. Whenever they say something stupid, they don't believe in it. They have an agenda to push.

A prime example is the recent admission from Carney of always having known the rules based order to be a convenient lie https://www.youtube.com/shorts/i6wqYYx4QtM

I don't think things like the antivax anti public healthcare push by people like RFK could be possibly motivated by anything other than stupidity and a hubris that has them believe they're immune to disease. Rich people and their kids will die of measles just the same as poor people.

[-] zeca@lemmy.ml 6 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

During the pandemic, bolsonaro was catering to antivax and his whole family was pretending they werent getting vaccinated. But a leaked facebook post by his sons wife showed her mocking antivaxers, saying she was vaccinating her daughter... Theyre just playing the roles they were assigned to in public.

even if they're vaccinating they're own children the way public health works they're still putting themselves at more of a risk, which is still stupid

[-] zeca@lemmy.ml 1 points 4 days ago

They are both stupid and dishonest

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 3 points 4 days ago

You mean the guy that which is super against processed foods and definitely wouldn't sell out all his "ideals" for power...

This one?

yes so explain how causing the worst public health disasters in modern history bringing back nearly eradicated illnesses which WILL harm rich people is something that benefits RFK and how, even if he were being directly paid for this, it isn't "stupid" for its lack of foresight regarding repercussions

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 3 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Kennedy received millions from the same big donors as Trump. Mostly law firms Big pharma slid into his DM's after the elections with a few million and he already walked back many of his promises of deleting all vaccines so it kind of goes both ways.

Let's not forget that Kennedy very shamelessly joined Trump after his own campaign failed.

Their malice doesn't care about what the majority of people are going to suffer from. It's about what they can gain from it themselves. If these lobbies were rationally trying maximize wealth then oil lobbies wouldn't be trying to destroy the entire planet to keep everyone using oil.

[-] orc_princess@lemmy.ml 1 points 4 days ago

It is stupid, but they wanna harm and control others more than they wanna benefit themselves, and they won't live forever anyway, so they don't care.

Okay but if it is stupid then i'm right and not the guy saying it's just malice

[-] ShinkanTrain@lemmy.ml 3 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Thesis: They're either evil or stupid

Antithesis: They're evil AND stupid

Synthesis, proposed: Malice is the difference between conscientious stupidity and predatory cultivation of ignorance.

[-] Wofls@feddit.org 4 points 5 days ago

Please lord forgive them not, for they know what they are doing

[-] Diplomjodler3@lemmy.world 4 points 5 days ago

It's usually a mixture of both. A lot of malicious people are also very stupid.

[-] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 10 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Not really they're always motivated by self-interest and corruption. For example when Nick Shirley makes an obviously fake documentary about "fraud in Minnesota" he's not just "doing it because he's dumb". He's doing it because he's receiving massive amounts of money to demonize that population.

[-] Wofls@feddit.org 2 points 5 days ago

The more social status some has the more it becomes the second one in my mind

or smth else nut there is some distinct differenece in my mind

[-] theywilleatthestars@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

Sufficiently advanced stupidity is indistinguishable from malice

[-] Dippy@beehaw.org 0 points 4 days ago

No no, it can stay stupidity. But hammer home that its not an improvement

this post was submitted on 29 Jan 2026
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