Yes, but that noisy minority will waste a lot of everyone's time and resources with their stupid fight before that referendum rejection.

Time and resources that should be put to more productive uses.

The first nations would never vote to leave even if an ablerta majority did, and they need their approval to do it legally. The first nations have nothing to gain by leaving.

They don't expect to win today, or tomorrow, and when (not if) they lose, they aren't just going to walk away. These things are indications of how much they are committing to this. This is how a long-term destabilization campaign starts. They have taken over much of our country's media already. They are going to use that to continue legitimizing these efforts, inflaming public opinion with rhetoric, emphasizing negative events, and shifting the overton window towards a future where the idea of "dependence" is itself automatically considered bad and wrong, the question will no longer be whether Alberta should be independent, but how independent should they be, what kinds of autonomy do they need. And spoiler: it will only increase. The demands will only increase. The autonomy expectations will only increase. Because they're being intentionally fueled. They're not organic, but they become organic because people start to absorb it through osmosis from their surroundings.

Will they ultimately succeed? I don't know, I don't think anyone can know, but I do know we need to take this threat seriously. Because it's not going to stop, and they can afford to spend a lot more instigating it than we probably will to defend against it.