Still some really cool clips of a stage 2 seperation of the Soyuz rocket though. You can see it in the first clip in the telegram link. First at 17 seconds in, then again at 1:35.
If you are interested in further investigating this, look up the leaked Taurus phone call from Germany. They admit that British personnel program the missiles, and even help the Ukrainians load them onto their aircraft. I've posted a comment about it also in this thread.
And how do we know this? From a leaked phone call from Germany.
Why a leaked German military recording on Ukraine aid is causing an outcry - Reuters, March 5 2024
The discussions included details of allies' operations, such as the fact British personnel were deployed in Ukraine and how Britain's Storm Shadow and France's Scalp missiles were deployed in the country.
One official talks about the fact Britain is already handling for France the satellite data needed for Ukraine to program the missiles.
He suggests it could do the same for Germany - preventing the country from being in any way directly involved in their deployment, which is a political red line for Berlin.
German Taurus Leak - Wikipedia
Gerhartz said: ″When it comes to mission planning, for example, I know how the British do it, they do it completely in reachback [i.e. with support from people who are not forward-deployed]. They also have a few people on the ground, they do that, the French don't. So, they also QC the Ukrainians when loading the SCALP, because Storm Shadow and SCALPS are relatively similar from a purely technical point of view. They've already told me that, yes, for God's sake, they would also look over the shoulders of the Ukrainians when loading the Taurus. But the question is, how do we solve that? Do we let them do the mission planning and give them MBDA as a reachback and then put one of our people in MBDA?″
They British even help the Ukrainians load the missiles on the planes with regards to Quality Control! This is absolutely ridiculous. The Ukrainians can't even load the missiles themselves onto their modified Su-24 bombers with pylons from the British Tornado GR4 without the British watching over their shoulder, literally.
I don't think tagging people is useful, it could be seen as harrassment, and at this point all the information is out there. I've been going on for months about how it's a big escalation to target Russia within their internationally recognised borders like this, if others don't acknowledge this that's fine, everyone is entitled to their own opinions.
Wait until you learn the top speed at which the Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle is set to fly at on re-entry, or the speed of ICBM MIRVs on re-entry...
spoiler
Mach 27, 27 times the speed of sound, or 9.25km per second...
At the end of the day, more dollarisation is never going to overturn the current system and world order. Only de-dollarisation can do that. Thank you for this detailed series of posts, we appreciate the time and effort put into them.
Timeline's not matching for me. We know from two separate videos that the IRBM impacted Dnipro at 05:17 local time (GMT+2). Sunrise at Dnipro for the 21st of November: 06:56 local time. The missile was launched from Kasputin Yar five minutes prior, so 07:12 local time (GMT+4). Sunrise for Kasputin Yar on 21st November: 08:14.
The videos look more likely to match the Soyuz launch at 17:22 of the 21st of November at Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan. Sunset there on the 21st of November: 17:10. The videos seem to be at sunset, instead of over an hour before sunrise. The sky also seems to get darker as the rocket flies, not lighter, though that could just be placebo. Footage also matches the appearance of previous Soyuz launch footage, especially the exhaust gas pattern after the first stage. Some nice clips of a stage 2 seperation though.
My best guess is one missile with six re-entry vehicles, and each re-entry vehicle has six submunitions each.
Think that was the Soyuz launch yesterday and not the Oreshnik IRBM, trajectory is not depressed at all.
Don't worry, the Ukrainians also confused this Soyuz launch in Kazakhstan for an IRBM launch, leading to them issuing an air raid warning for the entire country.
Storm Shadow/SCALP is a terrain following, low flying stealth cruise missile. The flight path needs to be programmed beforehand, and that is done using satellite and topographical data from the US/NATO, and US/NATO officials also program the flight path before the missile is fired, to avoid air defence locations (also obtained by US/NATO satellite data). Satellite imagery for target matching with the missile's EO sensors would also require US/NATO involvement. Storm Shadow is a fire and forget platform, once it's fired it can't be reprogrammed, it flies according to the set flight path.
Ukraine:
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Maybe selects the target to strike, using information gathered by NATO ISTAR capabilities (Information, surveillance, target acquisition and reconnaissance).
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Loads the missile onto their Su-24 bomber aircraft(s), modified with parts and likely avionics from the British Tornado GR4 aircraft, so it can carry and fire the Storm Shadow/SCALP missile.
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Flies in their Su-24 bombers to the launch point with escort aircraft (previously MiG 29 aircraft with US made anti radiation missiles to suppress air defence systems on the path to the launch point, and Su-27 aircraft with air to air missiles. F-16s might also play a role now).
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Gets to the launch point, performs launching maneuveres, and launches the missile.
USA/UK/France/NATO:
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Provides Ukraine with a list of possible targets using their ISTAR capabilities, if not selecting a target itself.
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Programmes the missile's flight path, from launch point to target area, to fly low to the ground and avoid air defence coverage, using their own topographical data of Russia, and the location of air defence systems and radars, gathered by NATO satellites, in particular US satellites will be used for this data as they have the most capability in this regard.
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Provide satellite imagery for the terrain matching and target matching features of the missile for the terminal flight stage.
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The missile uses GPS guidance provided by satellites for guidance throughout it's flight.
I'm sure you can see why Russia is not happy with the above.
Video of Putin's full 7:30 speech, with English translation from RT News, hosted on Reddit
Reddit source is now deleted.
Most interesting part is Putin saying that Russia, in essence, reserves the right to hit military targets of the countries whose long range weapons are used to strike Russia.
I would upload a mirror link on another website, but my Reddit client does not allow me to download Reddit videos with sound for some reason. If anyone else can, feel free to post it.
~~Damnit video got deleted, time to try find it again.~~
Technically it's an IRBM (Intermediate Range Ballistic Missile) as it's designed to operate over shorter ranges.
But yes, much of the same technology used in ICBMs, especially with regards to multiple re-entry vehicles and a MIRV bus/post boost vehicle that deploys the MIRVs. MIRVs with submunitions is a new technology though.