[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 7 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

And how do we know this? From a leaked phone call from Germany.

Why a leaked German military recording on Ukraine aid is causing an outcry - Reuters, March 5 2024

The discussions included details of allies' operations, such as the fact British personnel were deployed in Ukraine and how Britain's Storm Shadow and France's Scalp missiles were deployed in the country.

One official talks about the fact Britain is already handling for France the satellite data needed for Ukraine to program the missiles.

He suggests it could do the same for Germany - preventing the country from being in any way directly involved in their deployment, which is a political red line for Berlin.

German Taurus Leak - Wikipedia

Gerhartz said: ″When it comes to mission planning, for example, I know how the British do it, they do it completely in reachback [i.e. with support from people who are not forward-deployed]. They also have a few people on the ground, they do that, the French don't. So, they also QC the Ukrainians when loading the SCALP, because Storm Shadow and SCALPS are relatively similar from a purely technical point of view. They've already told me that, yes, for God's sake, they would also look over the shoulders of the Ukrainians when loading the Taurus. But the question is, how do we solve that? Do we let them do the mission planning and give them MBDA as a reachback and then put one of our people in MBDA?″

They British even help the Ukrainians load the missiles on the planes with regards to Quality Control! This is absolutely ridiculous. The Ukrainians can't even load the missiles themselves onto their modified Su-24 bombers with pylons from the British Tornado GR4 without the British watching over their shoulder, literally.

I don't think tagging people is useful, it could be seen as harrassment, and at this point all the information is out there. I've been going on for months about how it's a big escalation to target Russia within their internationally recognised borders like this, if others don't acknowledge this that's fine, everyone is entitled to their own opinions.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 11 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Wait until you learn the top speed at which the Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle is set to fly at on re-entry, or the speed of ICBM MIRVs on re-entry...

spoilerMach 27, 27 times the speed of sound, or 9.25km per second...

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 10 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Timeline's not matching for me. We know from two separate videos that the IRBM impacted Dnipro at 05:17 local time (GMT+2). Sunrise at Dnipro for the 21st of November: 06:56 local time. The missile was launched from Kasputin Yar five minutes prior, so 07:12 local time (GMT+4). Sunrise for Kasputin Yar on 21st November: 08:14.

The videos look more likely to match the Soyuz launch at 17:22 of the 21st of November at Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan. Sunset there on the 21st of November: 17:10. The videos seem to be at sunset, instead of over an hour before sunrise. The sky also seems to get darker as the rocket flies, not lighter, though that could just be placebo. Footage also matches the appearance of previous Soyuz launch footage, especially the exhaust gas pattern after the first stage. Some nice clips of a stage 2 seperation though.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 9 points 4 days ago

Compiled all the videos I could find in this post here

https://hexbear.net/comment/5660045

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 8 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

My best guess is one missile with six re-entry vehicles, and each re-entry vehicle has six submunitions each.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 12 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Think that was the Soyuz launch yesterday and not the Oreshnik IRBM, trajectory is not depressed at all.

Don't worry, the Ukrainians also confused this Soyuz launch in Kazakhstan for an IRBM launch, leading to them issuing an air raid warning for the entire country.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 24 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Russia: unveils a weapon that gives them Conventional Prompt Strike capabilities across the entirety of Europe.

Pro Ukraine trolls: Russia is about to be defeated!

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 22 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

They look similar because it's atmospheric re-entry of high speed projectiles, but to me there are some key differences. Iran made use of a large amount of missiles on October 1st, with no submunitions, and performed extensive manoeuvres beforehand, typical of Maneuverable Re-entry Vehicles. This Russian strike had six submunitions per re-entry event, with six re-entry events in total, and it was impossible to visualise if there were any manoeuvres beforehand with the clouds. This Russian strike could be 1 missile with six seperate Re-entry Vehicles, that then have six submunitions each, or 6 missiles with one Re-entry Vehicle each, that then has six submunitions. The Iranian equivalent to that, in terms of deploying submunitions, would be the Khorramshahr-4 IRBM, which wasn't used on October 1st from the publicly available evidence.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 26 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Yeah, if it's striking an underground bunker or hardened asset you'll see this kind of thing before the nuclear blast. If it's an air burst explosion thousands of metres in the sky , you won't even see this, you'll just see the nuclear blast...

It's terrifying.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 24 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

I'd say it's a message to NATO. Even in it's conventional form here, Russia demonstrated a weapon with accurate MRV and/or cluster warheads capable of hitting NATO assets, like airfields, without any chance of interception.

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 25 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Video evidence of the blasts in Dnipro appears to show that. Multiple MIRVs/MRVs or HGVs impacting at incredible speeds, Mach 20+.

Video 1, alternative xcancel link

Video 2, alternative xcancel link

Video 3 alternative xcancel link

Video 4 alternative xcancel link

Video 5 on Reddit

[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 49 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Ballistic missiles (Iskanders and Kinzhals) are being used freely to suppress and destroy Ukraine's air defenses, keeping the way clear at all times in case more cruise missiles need to be launched, which will target the power grid.

This just happened, double Kinzhal strike followed by Kh-101 cruise missiles.

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