Yeah, pretty much.
Uh... what the fuck are you on? Can I have some?
The coup in 2014 happened because Yanukovych chose at the last minute to not sign a free trade deal with the EU, but rather wanted closer economic ties to Russia. This is despite the fact that the parliament had overwhelmingly approved the original deal. Protests began immediately (this was in November of 2013). Hundreds of thousands of people across the nation were pissed off. Both the protestors and parliament called for Yanukovych to step down. He refused, and enacted harsh anti-protest laws in response. Things escalated. Eventually, after weeks of clashes with the police, the protestors won out and Yanukovych fled. He then begged Moscow to intervene.
This gave Russia all the justification it needed to seize Crimea so that they could have unfettered access to Sevastopol, which is where they had been basing their Black Sea fleet for like 200 years.
So, like... I get that you're all rah rah communism rah rah... but how are you going to then shit on an extremely popular people's movement that ousts the entrenched power system? That seems pretty in-line with your professed beliefs.
Were you also dropped on your head as a baby?
That one's tough to answer. I'm hopeful that they'll reach Tokmak by the end of the year, but I don't know that they'll take it this year. Russia knows the logistical importance of that place, and they'll throw everything at it to retain it. Plus, there's only like 2 months left in the year before fighting conditions get too degraded by weather. So, I'm guessing that the lines will start to stabilize again at the end of October or beginning of November, and we won't see much progress until next Spring.
The good news, though, is that they're gonna be getting a bunch of F-16s from the Netherlands, so that will help out immensely in the next offensive drive. I wouldn't be surprised if they're able to take Tokmak early on in the year, and then make a push towards Melitopol. Could be celebrating another independence day by the end of next year.
Of course, a lot depends on conditions in Russia. Anything could happen. We've already seen one major coup attempt from Wagner before they stopped about 200km away for some reason. I don't think they're going to try again because they stupidly put all of their upper leadership together in the same plane... but I think it's possible that another coup attempt could happen from a different faction. If Putin is removed or killed, I don't think the war will continue. I think the next guy will just blame Russia's poor performance on the last guy and will call it a day.
Alright there, bud. Please tell me where anything that I have said has diverged from objective reality.
Now the Ukrainian army is less trained and has inferior equipment to fight this war then they did at the start
Even poorer? WTF are you talking about? I want them to get their land back, and kill the fuckers invading them. I want them to get the tens of thousands of children Russia abducted back. I want them to get reparations for the invasion.
what’s going to happen to the millions of Russians living in Crimea and eastern Ukraine?
I couldn't give one single, solitary fuck.
Do they just get genocided or flee en masse in another Nakba, lib?
Well, flee if they're ingelligent, I suppose.
Hey - you'll get no argument from me that the Democratic party sucks, or that it's owned by the same lobbyists that own Republicans. That being said, the differences you outlined when saying that there's very little difference are big fucking differences.