[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 5 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago)

It isn't intended to be temporary. It's intended to be permanent via Chevron. The capital flight and de-industrialization of Europe has already begun. The question becomes really if they can make China unattractive and noncompetitive to force de-industrialization and capital flight to the US. They can at the least with this plan put a really big hurt on China and make them reliant on the dollar and maintaining its hegemony which means US hegemony which also means the B&R fails which means the US succeeds in enslaving most of the planet and China's attempts to free them fail which ultimately if not interrupted at some point in this process leaves China a mere regional power totally under the economic power of the US in a world also controlled by the US.

In other words China and Russia but China especially need to be strident and prepare for combat on the high seas against this pirate empire. The US won't go down easy. If this video is to be believed they have no intent of retreating to the Americas as many here like to speculate rather they may cede air power and all their air bases for a handful much more defensible and important naval bases and choke points across the globe and attempt to maintain power via a navy.

This is also why Trump's plan for building American ships by imposing fees on any ships coming to the US that aren't US made shouldn't be scoffed at right now as transitioning from an air power to a naval power would require increased shipbuilding capacity which would be helped by opening new naval yards, expanding existing ones via commercial orders. However, even if that should fail the US has enough ship-building capacity as well as established ports around the world to fairly effectively carry out this strategy.

Navies are not easy to disable no. Compared to air forces that sit on tarmacs fairly static ships are constantly moving so a lot harder to find, target, and destroy than air forces that can't be in the air all the time. Additionally these carrier groups carry anti-sub equipment, travel with attack subs, and have aegis anti-missile defenses on them.

It's not impossible if China wants to war with the US for them to attack them and start destroying them but two things: 1) China doesn't want to fight the US, has resisted any military action against them because the US is run by mad-men with nukes who are seething at Christianity losing, white supremacy losing (but I repeat myself), and capitalism losing and China also does a lot of business with the US and while the US might take a lot of slaps from China they'll probably cut off trade and crash the Chinese economy if China goes to war with them. 2) China does not have a deep water navy. They lack the ability to project power like the US does. They don't have logistics chains for projecting power like the US does. They don't have all these colonial hold-over ports and different fleets all over the world supported with air power resupply. Ultimately the US could carry out their piracy just with subs so developing ultra-long-range missiles for taking out carrier groups while firing from China and evading their interceptor defenses won't be enough to stop the US because the US can continue to carry out this strategy with subs. Thus China requires a deep water navy capable of sub hunting in vast stretches of multiple oceans around the world. This will take time to build, take time to figure out logistics for because they don't have land bases to resupply from anywhere in the world at this point so it would be more expensive and intensive on them. This gives the US probably another decade of dominance at least during which they can do a lot.

If China strikes now, dissuades the US they might be able to prevent this strategy from fully unfurling and the US might indeed flinch this early on. However if the plan progresses, Europe de-industrializes and the US somewhat reindustrializes or at least "friend-shores" the industry to say Latin America, Asian lapdogs, etc then the US will become progressively less likely to flinch. Problem is China's navy at the moment isn't really ready for a full confrontation with the US that rages far from the SCS (US has been very careful in this plan to have its choke points and blockade points far from the SCS).

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 5 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

People said they wouldn't last 6 months here at the start. Then Ukraine wouldn't last a year, then not two years. Then repeated assurances a new Russian offensive was coming in 2024, then 2025 that would collapse the front and Ukraine would have to surrender. People have been saying Ukraine would run out of man-power for years so excuse me if I don't believe it. There are shortages sure but this is a new age of warfare using drones operated by women in apartments in Kiev and the far west of the country which make it hard to advance so even if a Ukrainian position has only half its compliment of men it doesn't matter because the Russians are pinned by drones that will assassinate them without notice and few counters.

Truth is the lines are not moving much, Russian gains are slow and mostly empty area or small hamlets. Constant drone attacks have made troop movements very slow, very cautious on both sides and the Russians don't really have a comprehensive counter that enables them to get out of this trench warfare and either really break Ukrainian lines by killing enough of them and/or safely advance their own forces at any meaningfully significant pace.

There's no sign that Ukraine's lines will collapse. If anything they've adapted to Russian tactics that led to devastating early losses and are only getting stronger technologically and on tactics. At this rate of gain it will take Russia years more just to free the oblasts they legally claim and incorporated as Russian territory to say nothing of how they're going to move beyond that to forcing Ukraine to surrender by doing something like taking most of it industry, putting Kiev at threat, cutting them off from the black sea entirely, etc.

Ukraine isn't winning but they're not going to collapse and give Russia what they want anytime soon either. If the war ends soon it isn't because Ukraine lost or Russia won decisively on the battlefield its because Ukraine's backers decided to re-allocate too many resources elsewhere and told them to throw in the towel in doing so.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 19 points 19 hours ago* (last edited 19 hours ago)

Well if this is true then nothing on earth can get the US to abandon the zionist entity and all talk of that is as usual just copium/hopium. Not that I seriously thought they would but it would seem their energy dominance re:LNG relies explicitly on the zionist entity continuing to exist, continuing to be part of the rest of the world including open trade with it in order to export gas, remaining stable, and remaining close to the US and coordinating with them in regards to their grander geopolitical strategies with energy which means not turning the US back on them.

One interesting thing I'll notice is Ukraine is ramping up their drone war, they're now one of the most skilled operators in the world with very skilled people and a great knowledge set. They have unlimited access to western precursor components to build their drones and if the US says so they'll coordinate with them for deep strikes into central Russia to destroy gas infrastructure and strangle China. Frankly short of decisively defeating Ukraine and forcing them to the negotiating table by making their position untenable I don't think this whole Russian plan of bleeding them is working out after all. They only get better at drone terrorism and warfare, they only contribute more skills to the west, they only create better designs, strike deeper, radicalize more of their population with Nazi propaganda.

But I do find it interesting the video brings up Diego Garcia and the US naval advantage and ring around China in as far as they believe it will be part of maintaining the petro-dollar and controlling China. I've often noted the same thing, that this, Greenland, Panama Canal, etc is all part of a way to control global trade to control China. He's come to basically the same conclusion I have but I didn't notice the gas moves specifically and some of the elegant details of this plan, he really lays it out in a way I never could. Very impressive.

Frankly I increasingly wonder if Ukraine isn't intended to be kept burning through when the US makes their moves on China so that they can just use Ukrainians to blow up Russian supplies to China and squeeze them using an existing conflict so it isn't even that obvious. China is averse to alliances, averse to getting involved militarily so their only moves are economic in nature which limits them compared to the US in what they can do especially given the extensive alliances, vassals, etc the US has. The US can have their Ukrainian proxies launch massive attacks and completely devastate Russian abilities to supply China and hurt their economy, force them into submission to the west for vital LNG and other supplies and flip the script on China's current rare earth monopoly.

And once again I think things like this are valuable because too many people here assume the US is run by incompetent failsons, that it's floundering around just doing things randomly when in fact there is a grander strategy. Yes some pieces of that come into place in a rather inelegant and floundering fashion due to failings of individual politicians and their moves but the grander plan continues to move forward across administrations.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 2 points 1 day ago

Nice I guess but also telling how bad things are here that it's this low. Also I predict this is just treatler rage at higher gas prices and other economic uncertainty as well as nativist sentiment that US people shouldn't be dying for another country. I'd bet once this war is 12 months in the rear-view mirror that these numbers go down and stay down.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 4 points 1 day ago

Evangelical Christianity and its consequences.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 3 points 1 day ago

This is a political problem. You can't technology your way out of laws without living entirely apart from society as an outlaw.

Private devices worked so long as the west had some sort of interest in maintaining the illusion of "freedom of speech" and other such things to promote their liberalism and hegemony to the world and their own citizenry. Now that it's time for hard power, for crushing dissent like pro-Palestine movements, cracking down on people's access to how much better things are getting in China while things get worse for them that is no longer an option.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 11 points 1 day ago

There are press "list-servs" which these NATO journalists gather on and probably hone in on and harp until it becomes a chorus on a certain phrase.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 10 points 3 days ago

Yes. He was in US military custody and somehow managed to run across the DMZ. He made up all kinds of claims but it turned out he was wanted for SA and was being taken to the US for discipline. The DPRK ultimately deported him back to the US.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 33 points 3 days ago

Russia is already almost maximally sanctioned. 50% tariffs won't mean anything except nuclear fuel people in the west screaming in pain if not given exemptions.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 26 points 3 days ago

US and Iran will muddle through for a few days. Iran will either knuckle under and deal with the violations while protesting and drag the talks out a long time or they won't and they'll retaliate, the US will claim betrayal and breaking of the ceasefire on Iran's end and either they'll soon propose something new or they'll just start the war up again. But I think it likely the west may at this point really want to get some shipping through to alleviate the economic shocks coming. It's just they have no will to contain the zionist entity's violations and a lack of ability to back down and truly surrender meaningfully.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 37 points 4 days ago

US-Israeli[sic] strikes hit a Jewish synagogue in Tehran on Tuesday morning.

"See? Jews are clearly not safe in Iran!" - the zionist entity

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 42 points 4 days ago

Everyone should because the US would have no reason to do this. Trying to shore up the economy, bring troops to the region for an invasion without them being attacked, a feint to get them to drop their guard so they can steal the uranium then attack them again, etc, etc.

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darkcalling

joined 5 years ago