Pushing back not to debate-lord but to test these ideas out. I am not sure either.
I certainly don’t think morality or norms constrain Israel here. But I’m doing my best to think in a materialist manner here so morality nor norms come into it anyway.
The more Israel pushes in, the closer they push into the caliphate, the more likely conflict is with the caliphate. So I see Israeli expansion as self-limiting.
The supply lines into Syria are shit and naturally choked via Golan. If they can’t push into Lebanon, they can’t push into a 2nd or 3rd tier city in Syria. If they can’t sustain operations in Gaza and 3km north of Israel, they can’t sustain operations 10s to 100 kms from Israel via Golan.
The “Greater Israel” faction is real and influential, but that’s a centuries long project not a mad dash into Kursk. Hopefully they try and incite the Caliphate into being another Hezbollah but I think they’re probably smarter than that.
I’m sure Elon can do it.