I think the response was smart in that it fully is a response without being an escalation.

Russia was able to thump thump thump the “we have nukes and we got a little bit closer to using them” stick, and the USA now has to face strategic ambiguity whenever Russia launches an ICBM.

Russias best play in the short term is to wait for Biden to leave and they’re doing that while still responding in a “we are demonstrably closer to nuclear holocaust” fashion.

Maybe you wanted them to sink a carrier but assuming Russia does not in fact want nuclear holocaust to actually happen this was pretty on point imo.

Maybe it was an anchor I don’t know

But it did happen just as Germany told Russia they would not authorize the use of German missiles on Russia.

Germany steps out of line, Germany loses an undersea cable. It’s a pattern.

Probably the UN just wouldn’t exist. The first time a major power wanted to do something the general assembly didn’t want, the major power would have done it anyway and the UN ceases.

The veto power is a recognition of reality. Actually you cannot stop a great power from doing what it wants except via a great war with another great power. If this fact of reality is acknowledged and made part of the process, then at least the General Assembly can voice their objections and deny legitimacy via protest without destroying the entire edifice.

The mistake was really to have no mechanism to remove someone from the security council. The fact that India and Brazil aren’t there while the UK and France both get seats is silly, and including France as one of the “victors of WW2” is also silly.

When you bully the drama kids so hard they fuck your economy

Here’s a study of inflation that excludes housing, groceries, and energy… oh turns out your eyes are lying.

How the FUCK is soy sauce more available than salt and water?

I wasn’t earning enough money so I decided to cut costs by not going to the office anymore and now they’ve fired me

Boss said no

https://xcancel.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1829567156863848622

🇺🇦 BREAKING! Zelensky has dismissed the Commander of the Ukrainian Air Force, Oleshchuk.

The corresponding decree was published on the website of the Ukrainian President's Office.

The F-16 saga keeps getting more and more interesting...

How can they vote when they’re undocumented?

https://responsiblestatecraft.org/ukraine-kursk-incursion/

Symposium: What does Ukraine's incursion into Russia really mean?

Ten experts gauge the short and long term effects of Kyiv’s bold invasion on the war

Jasen J. Castillo, Co-Director, Albritton Center for Grand Strategy, George H.W. Bush School of Government, Texas A&M University

Ukraine's attack reminds me of Germany's audacious Western offensive in 1944 that surprised the Allies, made gains, and ended with a defeat at the Battle of the Bulge, which then wasted manpower and equipment it needed months later on the Eastern Front.

Monica Duffy Toft, Professor of International Politics and Director of the Center for Strategic Studies at The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.

On the material axis, Ukraine may be able to temporarily degrade Russia’s ability to launch missile attacks against Ukrainian targets, the most sensitive of which involve the deliberate and systematic harm of Ukraine’s noncombatants. But in material terms, not much can be expected in terms of lasting impact. Ukraine will be forced to retreat from Russia, and its surviving troops and equipment will be redistributed, after rest and refit, to other critical areas of Ukraine’s front with Russia.

Ivan Eland, Director of the Independent Institute’s Center on Peace & Liberty.

Although Ukraine has insisted that its intent is not to hold captured land in Russia, one might then ask what purpose the incursion serves.

Mark Episkopos, Eurasia Research Fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and Adjunct Professor of History at Marymount University

Russia appears to have thwarted the AFU’s attempts to significantly expand its initial beachhead, and Ukraine lacks the long-term capacity to hold even the modest territory that it is currently contesting.

Lyle Goldstein, Director of Asia Development, Defense Priorities, and visiting Professor at the Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs at Brown University

No doubt the operation has served its primary end to embarrass the Kremlin and so dramatically alter the conventional narrative on the war. Still, legitimate questions can be asked regarding the wisdom of the new offensive.

John Mearsheimer, R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor at the University of Chicago, and non-resident fellow at the Quincy Institute

Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat.

Sumantra Maitra, Director of research and outreach, the American Ideas Institute, author of “Sources of Russian Aggression”

If Ukraine taking the war to Russia was to bring Russia to negotiate from a position of weakness, it will fail, simply because Ukrainians don't have the manpower to sustain this push and subsequent occupation.

Rajan Menon, non-resident senior fellow at Defense Priorities and the Anne and Bernard Spitzer Chair Emeritus in International Relations at the Powell School, City College of New York/City University of New York.

Once Russia mounts a persistent counterattack, will Ukraine muster the logistical capabilities, troop numbers, firepower, and air defenses required to sustain its soldiers in Kursk? Will Russia be forced to redeploy forces from Donetsk (so far it has used reserves and troops from the Kharkiv and Kupiansk fronts)? Or will Russia foil Ukraine’s Kursk offensive, transforming the current euphoria into a blame-game in which Ukraine’s leaders are attacked for dispatching to Kursk troops that were badly needed elsewhere? It’s too early to tell.

Peter Rutland, professor of government and the Colin and Nancy Campbell Chair for Global Issues and Democratic Thought at Wesleyan University

Irrespective of the military costs and benefits of the raid, there is no doubt that it has been a political coup for Kyiv.

Stephen Walt, Robert and Renee Belfer Professor of International Affairs, Yale University

The Ukrainian incursion into Russia is a sideshow intended to bolster Ukrainian morale and give the West confidence to keep backing Kyiv, but it will not affect the outcome of the war.

The expert consensus is in. This is a Tik Tok offensive.

I was seeing a news special about how Ukraine is giving aid to the needy Russians. Like dudes you’ve been there for three days no one was starving yet but the news piece was “liberated from the terrors of Russian rule and this was the first time they saw a bottle of water in their lives” type stuff.