Maybe it was an anchor I don’t know
But it did happen just as Germany told Russia they would not authorize the use of German missiles on Russia.
Germany steps out of line, Germany loses an undersea cable. It’s a pattern.
We are planning to restore deference by raiding lemmy.world/c/hasbara at a point of our choosing (probably in 2 months after you’ve kind of started forgetting about this)
Probably the UN just wouldn’t exist. The first time a major power wanted to do something the general assembly didn’t want, the major power would have done it anyway and the UN ceases.
The veto power is a recognition of reality. Actually you cannot stop a great power from doing what it wants except via a great war with another great power. If this fact of reality is acknowledged and made part of the process, then at least the General Assembly can voice their objections and deny legitimacy via protest without destroying the entire edifice.
The mistake was really to have no mechanism to remove someone from the security council. The fact that India and Brazil aren’t there while the UK and France both get seats is silly, and including France as one of the “victors of WW2” is also silly.
When you bully the drama kids so hard they fuck your economy
Here’s a study of inflation that excludes housing, groceries, and energy… oh turns out your eyes are lying.
Apparently it ran aground.
Also, apparently it’s the only oil tanker the US has in the region so they currently can’t supply fuel to their fleet there.
Zelenskyy lacks a legal mandate, lacks a simple majority in parliament, half his government ministers have quit or been fired, more firings are on the table, fired the head of the Air Force, recently replaced the head of the military, ordered a senseless and strategically meaningless offensive into Kursk, the Donbas line is in a state of ongoing collapse, Germany has cut funding, he’s fighting with Poland, Hungary and Slovakia are hostile, the US election is 50:50 and further US aid likely minimal even in the best case…
Zelenskyy is starting to look very alone.
https://xcancel.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/1829567156863848622
🇺🇦 BREAKING! Zelensky has dismissed the Commander of the Ukrainian Air Force, Oleshchuk.
The corresponding decree was published on the website of the Ukrainian President's Office.
The F-16 saga keeps getting more and more interesting...
I was seeing a news special about how Ukraine is giving aid to the needy Russians. Like dudes you’ve been there for three days no one was starving yet but the news piece was “liberated from the terrors of Russian rule and this was the first time they saw a bottle of water in their lives” type stuff.
kittin
joined 7 months ago
Materialist posting time. Poke holes in my likely flawed analysis please:
Kurds - just want to grill, but it’s thanksgiving so that means grilling turkey
Turkey - protector and defender of the Turkmen, hates the Kurds
Iran - can’t do shit about it now, will focus on Iraq & seek some kind of detente with the caliphate.
Iraq - will drive closer to Iran in fear of the caliphate
The Caliphate - won big but learned from last time and will probably seek to consolidate. Will want to focus on northern Iraq but will be reactive for a time until they consolidate their big gains. They have a grudge against Russia here but the cia has a bounty against their leader while also supplying arms so let’s face it, these players are businessmen and will cut a deal with Russia.
Shias / Alawites / seculars / remnant Ba’athists - lost big and will just try to survive, goal one will be an autonomous Latakia. An autonomous Latakia is directly in the interests of everyone except the caliphate since the caliphate immediately becomes a threat to everyone else, and not directly against the interests of the caliphate so I expect an autonomous Latakia that is essentially a Russian protectorate.
Lebanon (excluding Hezbollah): can’t do shit even for itself right now, will ally with Latakia & Russia and balance-of-power Israel against Hezbollah.
Hezbollah: will have to bend the knee and accept the caliphate as a neighbor, will loosely ally with Lebanon and Latakia.
Russia: will cut any deal possible that preserves their naval base, likely taking the form of a Syrian confederation that preserves an autonomous Latakia and they’ll wash their hands of the rest of the place. Interestingly well placed to balance Turkey against Israel, and play a broker between the caliphate and Iran. Most interesting takeaway here is that Lebanon is pushed towards Russia, and Turkey and Russia need to align their interests (= Kurds get fucked, as is tradition.)
Russia well positioned to be the closest thing to a power broker in this game of thrones imo. Despite having clearly taken a side, their side clearly lost, and their interests are clear and directly understood so bygones will be bygones.
Israel: can’t conceivably occupy a major Syrian population center if they can’t pacify Gaza. The more land they seize, the more likely the caliphate targets them instead of Iraq. I expect a restrained land grab to create a buffer zone, nothing more.
USA: fucking wild card. It’s certainly possible the caliphate don’t deal with Russia, which is a key assumption that negates everything so that is probably want the USA wants.
EU: irrelevant