Nate left 538 about a year ago. He now publishes his own SubStack for subscription and does a lot of consulting, notably including a hefty contract with Peter Theil the well know billionaire and right wing power broker who pushed JD Vance to be the Vice Presidential candidate for Trump
I agree with your take on the old 538 model, but if you read Nate’s new substack it become pretty clear that he’s been ‘captured’. Almost all of his post seem to fairly anti-Harris in their biases and it feels like all of his writings are really meant for one person, that person being the owner of Polymarket who he has a very large consulting contract. What these biases are doing to the Model I don’t know but the new model at 538 which was built from the ground up by other statisticians consistently trends about 10-20% higher odds for Harris taking the election.
Welp, it was nice knowing y’all. With my Balatro addiction going mobile I hope I remember to eat.
The common clay of old west.
He should totally invite Barack & Bill over to the Rose Garden and beat down the White House fax machine, while W wanders around looking for his stapler.
Some of my favourite adaptations of Shakespeare and what they adapted:
Lion King - Hamlet
O - Othello
My Own Private Idaho - One of the Henrys I forget which one
10 Things I hate about You - 12th Night
West Side Story - Romeo and Juliet
And yeah don’t miss out on Ran
Romeo+Juliet is an amazing production. One of my favourites. If you look at the script is one of the most true to Shakespeare’s. And so beautiful.
I really love the way SNW is filling in that transition period where Kirk’s this hard driving, blue flame, academy nerd, who’s out be youngest captain ever, but he’s also deeply head over heals in love with Carol. And how it becomes obvious that when Carol breaks his heart soon he’s going start acting out and pretending he’s some kind of slut during the TOS period. But we all know he’s just crying inside because the love of his life has dumped him.
Once again in no particular order: Ultimata IV - Quest of the Avatar
Sim City 2000
The Last of Us
Breath of the Wild
Trade Wars
Kingdom Hearts
Knights of the Old Republic
Civ 6
Omega - a dos game where you programmed Tanks and set them loose
And right now: Balatro
No your thinking of “Free Guy” with Ryan Reynolds. That Ryan plays a video game NPC. In “The Fall Guy” Ryan Gosslin plays a stunt man doing stunts.
I know that not most woman aren’t in to a men just for his money, but the kinda chicks who will double up on a guy like me are!
showmeyourkizinti
joined 1 year ago
The Middleman! It was 1 hour comedy that played on ABC Family that sadly got canceled after its first season. It was a farcical take on the super spy genre based off the comic books of the same name with Matt Kessler and Natalie freaking Morales. Vampire Ventriloquist Dummies, Zombie Flying Fish, and all Alien Boy Bands. It’s a hilarious send up spy and comic book tropes.