[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 35 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Now that I’m thinking back the whole saga, it really felt like the nationalists led by Glazyev had made a serious miscalculation. He thought the moment had come after the war started and went high profile with his criticism of the Central Bank. Probably pissed off the wrong people and now he’s practically “disappeared” from the public discourse. This has been noted before amongst the chatter of certain Russian economics telegram channels - it really starts to make sense now.

I’m not going to psychoanalyze, but there is also the component that Glazyev is ethnic Ukrainian, so maybe he felt the need to go the extra “patriotic” route to avoid being seen as a provocateur by his enemies. But that only appeared to hasten his downfall.

There’s a lesson to all of you: if you want to do a coup, DO NOT paint yourself as an obvious target. Keep your heads down, slowly staff the bureaucracies with people you can trust, don’t piss off the wrong people, and then and only then, make your surprise move.

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 36 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Russia’s bombs couldn’t even kill civilians like the American bombs did. Useless trash.

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 37 points 2 weeks ago

Can Iron Dome even intercept ballistic missiles?

I thought it’s Arrow-2/3 that are built for anti-ballistic missile defense, and guess who built Arrow-2/3? Boeing.

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 36 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

I heard Putin didn’t pick up the phone yesterday when Bibi called him in desperation?

What’s the Russia-Israel relationship like these days?

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 35 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Yeah this is just not realistic.

I remember Russia also wanted to do the same thing back in 2022, but in the end it was decided it’s just never going to be worth the effort and investment.

We’re talking about significant investments and time - dozens and dozens of billions of dollars and a sustained support by the government and the investors over many years, not to mention the level of technical expertise distributed over an entire chain of extremely complicated manufacturing process that would take several decades to cultivate (hint: not even US has the complete expertise, instead it gains control over the semiconductor market through certain key softwares and IP licensing).

But the real problem is that you’re never going to have a foot in the market because your competitors who are several generations ahead will always be able to fabricate the chips much much cheaper than you do. Say you can make the chip at $0.50 but your competitor can make them at $0.05, they’re always going to get the entire global market. Not only is your chip more expensive, but who’s going to buy them? This is how TSMC obliterates Samsung and Intel in the semiconductor race - in the semiconductor market, the winner takes all.

So, you’re going to have to ask yourself: is it worth investing in so many billions over so many years that is not going to yield a real economic return (i.e. no real return if not able to penetrate the global market), while you could have spent those same billions of dollars and resources investing in other domestic industries that support the facets of economy that could have helped improve the lives of the people. The latter is the answer that Russia has come to accept.

The only country I can see succeeding is China, not only because China has a huge domestic market at 1.4 billion people, but because there is a real need to ensure technological self-sufficiency if the West cuts China off the semiconductor import (which is already happening), and it has a huge economy to support the significant investment required for many years to come.

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 37 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Honestly I can see Trump being duped into thinking “assassinating one rogue general to force the Iranians to back down” by the ghouls surrounding him. Trump seems like someone who loves living too much to want to start a world war. The fact that the US immediately de-escalated supports this view.

Biden, on the other hand, hasn’t shown any hesitation when it comes to provoking Russia, Iran, and soon, China.

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 39 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Fuck, if the October surprise is really tactical nuke, then things will rapidly degrade from very bad to very worse.

There is also a BRICS meeting coming up in October. Are Russia and China going to pretend as though business is usual? Oh, look, we are committed to even more multi-lateral trade that will finally displace our trade with the US in about 52 years. Here are some record trade turnover numbers for you to cheer on.

BRICS is already proving to be a disappointment on the dedollarization front, are they going to fumble an international crisis, when one of their newest members Iran is directly in the imperialist war path as well? If that is the case, what is the use of this Global Majority bloc (yes I know it’s an economic bloc) if it’s not going to wield its political influence to stop the madness?

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xiaohongshu

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