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this post was submitted on 05 Jan 2025
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Vintage H100s will flood the market and a healthy business of smuggling them into China will take off. The Chinese will be the ones to actually create AGI due to their ability to partially ignore market forces, and since the training process can be powered during the day and late at night with excess solar and nuclear energy, it will come at very little ongoing cost in terms of carbon dioxide emissions. The AGI will revolutionize high-speed rail construction and maintenance, designing a new high-speed rail system that it can easily monitor and maintain that will connect China through to Palestine, Portugal, Australia, and South Africa in a matter of hours, with a new expansion over the Bering Strait being planned. The old saying "all roads lead to Rome" has become "all rails lead to Beijing." The military dominance ensured by the AGI allows North Korea to open up under the protection of China, and the country becomes an exporter of world-class beer and ice cream and an international center of science and technology, with a high-speed rail connection to Beijing and Seoul in under 1 hour running with at least 20 trains a day from Pyongyang.
On Turtle Island, the H100s will also be bought by Indigenous people to create models to help preserve and teach their languages. It will become trendy for settlers to learn their local Indigenous languages and English will slowly lose relevance, becoming largely relegated to the economically and politically irrelevant United Kingdom, from which dispossessed AI/ML engineers unwilling or unable to learn Mandarin to continue in their line of work navigate the bureaucratic obstacles put in place by the EU to emigrate to Poland to scrub the floors and toilets, collect garbage, and maintain power poles and streetlights, all far more noble lines of work than their previous occupations. Eventually, the less densely populated Western states of the former United States return to Indigenous sovereignty following a successful socialist revolution, and the Eastern states soon follow. The land and the people still bear the scars of socialist revolution, but the future is looking bright.
what I want from "AI" is the ability to feed an interface pictures and location of a piece of land as well as resources available (labor hours, cash, tools, seeds, cuttings, materials) and have it spit out a variety of activities to do to rewild or revegetate or garden up a space. "do this in year one to help build soil, plant these seeds in that area in year two", etc. that would actually be useful.
Too bad! You will only get things that are useless!
I asked Gemini today to find the laundromat that I can travel to in the least time on public transit, but it said it couldn't do it and recommended that I drive instead. Do you think that if I'm using a laundromat, I can afford to drive a car?? Useless!