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How some of the post-federation Ukraine threads feel like
(lemmygrad.ml)
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this post was submitted on 15 Aug 2023
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chapotraphouse
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Don't think this is too likely - in your scenario, NATO would likely break up within 5-10 years and Europe would rid itself of a lot US influence.
I think the "decades of insurgency" thing is already set in stone.
Can you conceive of a scenario where the region becomes safer than it was between when the coup got bloody and Russia invaded now that there's 100x more weapons and organized fascists?