29
Mainstreet polling, Mar 28
(lemmy.ca)
| Party Name | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (% Current) | Percentage (%) Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 180 | +20 | 43.6% | +11% | 76.3% | 19.4% |
| Conservative | 128 | +9 | 40.6% | +6.9% | 0.6% | 3.6% |
| Bloc | 25 | -7 | 5.2% | -2.4% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 8 | -17 | 6.8% | -11% | N/A | N/A |
Yeah. I think Carney is likely to push PP to "disavow" Trump because we know a chunk of PP's voters are Trump supporters and so PP is unlikely to provide a full-throated Trump rejection. Rest of Canadians would react at it as you described.
In any case, the race is very much too close for comfort at this point.
I don't get why he doesn't do it. What are his voters going to do if he disavows Trump? vote NDP?
He has everything to gain and nothing to lose.
The might go to Bernier.