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submitted 1 month ago by yogthos@lemmygrad.ml to c/news@hexbear.net
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[-] Zetta@mander.xyz 24 points 1 month ago

Well there are plans just not directly from governments, NASA awarded contracts in 2023 to commercial providers to develop stations. Vast plans to launch their Haven-1 station in May 2026, it's a similar size to the Tiangong 2 but a meter wider. Smaller than the current Tiangong station though.

But ya, China will probably be doing the majority of science in space for a while. I'm glad they're doing it for humanity!

I know this is Hexbear, so probably an unpopular opinion, but I'm hopeful the commercial aspect will be as successful In lowering costs as the NASA commercial resupply /crew programs were in lowering cost to orbit.

[-] Infamousblt@hexbear.net 68 points 1 month ago

I don't understand why it's so complicated for people to understand that the government can offer things at the lowest possible cost because the government doesn't have to make profit. Any private industry running at equal efficiency to public industry will, necessarily, cost more because it must build in margins for profit. Literally anything else a private company can do, so could the government.

Private industry cannot save us. It cannot be cheaper. This is not complicated math it's extremely simple and yet seemingly completely impossible for the vast majority of Americans to understand

[-] iridaniotter@hexbear.net 30 points 1 month ago

Yeah, if it's all being done in-house by state industry then all else being equal it will be cheaper than a private alternative. But "bringing down costs" and technological innovation are known effects of competition between firms and is a reason why China uses markets and also a reason why Chinese aerospace is in a better long term position than the US's. For most of NASA's history, the way it funded the development of launch vehicles was not conducive to bringing down costs whatsoever. The current paradigm is better, although like you suggest it is not the only alternative.

[-] invalidusernamelol@hexbear.net 22 points 1 month ago

The issue with NASA was that they were the sole client for one industry until recently, and they choose to pick one or two companies to work with to simplify their own admin (as well as grease palms since it's a political entity in a capitalist state).

That creates monopoly and immediately defeats any possible benefit from "natural selection" in the market. They also tend towards that because the most optimal configuration is a unified state run industry that is allowed to build up the institutional knowledge that their current private counterparts (Boeing and Lockheed) have, while also ignoring the drive for profits.

If there isn't already an industry in place that can meet those knowledge requirements (as is China's case), then allowing them to develop, then consuming them is the only really sustainable course of action.

Only the Soviets managed to build a new tech industry from scratch, and that took military development between 2 world wars and almost half a century, China managed to get there using a hybrid of those models in a decade.

[-] buckykat@hexbear.net 16 points 1 month ago

The other, deeper, issue with NASA is that Congress required them to do everything wrong on purpose and kept cutting their budget

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this post was submitted on 25 Apr 2025
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