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this post was submitted on 10 May 2025
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The amount of trade is not the only thing that matters. Russia exports food, fertiliser and oil. Trade with Europe / US is mostly in luxuries. If forced to choose between them, China will likely choose the first.
(More likely they won't be forced to choose because they control multiple key supply chains, and can sink the economy of any country except maybe the USA.)
It's even more stark for my country. No trade with the west means we lose a lot of export revenue, and our growth slows. No trade with Russia means famine and fuel shortages. It's not even a choice.
The purpose is pressure. These countries dont want to have to deal with scarcity in terms of food, trade, investment or energy. These countries would put pressure to end the war, while other countries would attempt to take Russia's share of the trade