Image is Israeli interceptors trying and failing to intercept missiles over their cities.
Israel just carried out a widespread bombing of Iran, which has killed a number of senior officials inside Iran (though it seems the leadership is more-or-less intact) as well as a number of civilians. Important facilities have been targeted, but the amount of damage is unknown so far (note that many important Iranian facilities are deep underground, making them both hard to damage but also hard to determine if they are damaged from just satellite imagery, so reports of damage will be he-said-she-said).
It appears the attack took Iran by surprise, given that a residential block was targeted that contained some senior officials - if one saw an attack coming, one would imagine they'd be in bunkers. Nonetheless, like the rest of the Resistance Axis, I suspect that Iran has adapted their military structures to be resistant to decapitation strikes by ensuring that replacement figures are ready to take the place of killed officials.
Iran has delivered a massive missile barrage in response to Israeli aggression, even though Israel is continuing to bomb Iran. Iran is now aware of the location of many important Israeli sites, including secret nuclear sites, due to their recent intelligence haul, giving them a distinct edge.
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The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
This is the moment that Iran should actually develop nukes. Israel is too fucking insane that they might actually go nuclear.
I doubt they do this mostly because it's probably stupid, but I want them to conduct a nuclear test tonight
Test it as an airburst over the entity
Going nuclear is such a huge risk though. It's a threshold that can't be taken back.
Israel could use a nuke to call a timeout, only for a nuke to go off in Tel Aviv in a few years in revenge and permanently end the settler project.
Iran should ask to "borrow" a nuke from the DPRK until they get their own centrifuges spinning up again, just for personal protection
It's the opposite of a huge risk. It immediately de-escalates the entire situation and creates MAD. That's why the west and Israel are so afraid of a nuclear Iran, they cannot attack it anymore.
Does MAD even work against a rabid dog like Israel? They might just bite you anyways and dare you to retaliate
The part about MAD that forces restraint is the deadman switch aspect of unrestrained second strike capabilities by the other nuclear powers. Not that these powers themselves have nukes.
It works against the US
It's really not that simple, though, is it? MAD against Israel would mean having second strike capability because the US would definitely be open to first strike to defend their outpost, so on top of just the nukes they'd also need to develop subs.
Granted, Iran does have the conventional weaponry needed to flatten Israel in fortified silos anyway.
You're asking a philosophical question which leads nowhere but nihilism.
If resisting and fighting is pointless than may as well not bother. MAD against Israel matters because at the very least if these monsters decide to destroy the world they'll pay the same price.
The alternative is pragmatic defeatism which we already know leads us nowhere.
No, I do think MAD against Israel is worth going for, I'm saying that they can't stop at just having nukes, they need to have second strike capability for deterrence to actually work. Having nukes but no second strike capability is worse than not having nukes at all in game theory. I'm fully in agreement with you about the strategic need to develop both eventually.
I don't think they think that far ahead.
The moment they should actually develop nukes was ten years ago. But now works fine too
Hard to do when their facilities are burning, even with no leaking thank god. That's what sucks, even if they are ready to do so now, it will take a long while before they can be ready
Iran has many facilities, many of which are underground. I don't think this will set them back that much.
In fact, the technical aspects of obtaining a nuclear weapon are trivially easy at this point for a nation state. The technology is well understood. Iran could have gotten a nuclear weapon at any point it wanted to for the last decade, but they held off out of idealistic principles. All they need to do is take the final step, it's not like they are starting from scratch here
So.....next year in Tel Aviv?